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Feb 4, 2026

Dry Powder
William D. Cohan William D. Cohan

Happy Wednesday and welcome back to Dry Powder. I’m Bill Cohan.

A very British, very hushed form of jurisdictional arbitrage is catching on with companies hoping to avoid the bloody, take-no-prisoners arena of U.S. bankruptcy courts. Instead, several companies have decided that if they have to restructure, they might as well do so under gentler U.K. law, which allows investors to keep some of their equity while also restructuring the burdensome debt—an outcome rare in the U.S. Now, the Argo Blockchain case has proven that even a Nasdaq-listed company can cross the pond to get its affairs in order. Below, I’ll look at which companies have made the leap, which are contemplating it, and how widely the U.K. option might spread.

Mentioned in this issue: David Zaslav, Makan Delrahim, Blair Effron, Kathryn Ruemmler, John F.W. Rogers, Argo Blockchain, New Fortress Energy, Wes Edens, John Bringardner, Timothy Hynes, and many more…

But first…

  • The Netflix–WBD stopwatch: The clock is now ticking more quickly for Netflix’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. I am reliably told by sources close to the action that the S.E.C. has delivered “light” comments back to WBD regarding its January 20 proxy statement. WBD’s response to these comments may indeed generate still more comments, but it is now probably safe to assume that the House of Zaz will be able to schedule a definitive vote on the merger around the first week of March. If WBD shareholders vote to approve Netflix’s bid of $27.75 per share in cash, plus the value of the Global Networks equity stub, the board would be absolved of its fiduciary duty to accept a higher offer from PSKY or any other bidder that comes along with a superior offer. The deal would effectively be sealed, with one important caveat: a regulatory green light.

    If regulators in the U.S. or Europe do not approve the Netflix–WBD deal, an outcome on which the Ellisons appear to be betting, it could still get nuked after the shareholder vote. Regulators could also mandate onerous closing conditions that might make it significantly less appealing to Netflix. But that’s not a sure bet, either. If the Justice Department were to block the deal, Netflix has agreed to sue to get it approved. Of course, this is pretty much exactly what happened when the D.O.J. tried to stop the sale of Time Warner to AT&T during Trump I. The courts sided with the plaintiffs, and the merger was consummated—which AT&T came to regret, but whatever.

    Will the D.O.J. again try to play the spoiler? Netflix doesn’t think so, which is why it has agreed to pay $5.8 billion to WBD if regulators reject the deal. On the other hand, the Ellisons remain outwardly confident about their strategy: The new chief legal officer of Paramount Skydance is Makan Delrahim, the former D.O.J. antitrust chief who initiated the unsuccessful lawsuit attempting to block AT&T–Time Warner, so it’s not all that surprising that PSKY is banking on the Netflix deal getting stopped by regulators. Meanwhile, at a Wall Street Journal conference in Florida yesterday, PSKY M&A advisor Blair Effron predicted that his team was going to win WBD in the end. Well, maybe, but time is definitely not on their side.
  • An unlikely Goldman headache: The Justice Department’s latest Epstein document dump has not been particularly kind to a number of powerful people—New York Giants co-owner Steve Tisch, longevity researcher and bestselling author Peter Attia, Melania auteur Brett Ratner, Bill Gates, Elon, etcetera. And yet many of these former Epstein associates are principals of their own businesses or inhabit perceptibly uncancellable warrens of the manosphere. Kathryn Ruemmler, the former White House counsel and current general counsel at Goldman Sachs, occupies a very different position as the public-facing attorney for the toniest bank on Wall Street. And, fairly or not, she’s had a hell of a week.

    The Epstein files contain more than 9,000 references to Ruemmler between 2014 to 2019—several years after Epstein pleaded guilty to procuring a child for prostitution—when she was a partner at Latham & Watkins and before she joined Goldman. There are a few doozies. Ruemmler referred to Epstein as “Uncle Jeffrey” and thanked him profusely for an Hermès bag, an Apple Watch, and spa treatments. Another batch of emails catalogues the advice Ruemmler sought from Epstein while interviewing for jobs at Facebook and Google. “I suggest you prep for your meeting as a case,” Epstein wrote to Ruemmler about the Facebook opportunity. “Read up mark [zuckerberg], sheryl [sandberg], prepare an opening and summary. Along with a case strategy. [I’ll] help.” He then encouraged Larry Summers, who’s since had his own Epstein fiasco, to speak to Sandberg on Ruemmler’s behalf. (Goldman spokesman Tony Fratto told the Financial Times that Ruemmler never asked Epstein to reach out to Summers on her behalf, though I’m not sure that’s the main issue here. Goldman declined to comment for this story.)

    Earlier this week, the New York Post reported some new details about Ruemmler’s personal life and her interaction with a married man that also appeared in the documents. The emails are sad, presumably humiliating for everyone involved, and were never intended to become public. But now they are, and they have become the talk of Wall Street, alas. The management team at Goldman, perhaps led by John F.W. Rogers’s Reputational Risk Committee, is presumably in an unenviable pickle—forced to decide whether Ruemmler’s credibility has been compromised over these emails, even if her intellect and aptitude are not in doubt and no one has questioned the work she’s been doing at Goldman.

    Goldman is standing by Ruemmler in all this, as seems right at the moment. But it sure would be a sad coda if she were defenestrated at some point because of her professional interactions with Jeffrey Epstein, as part of their shared representation of the Rothschilds: She would become yet another woman burned by the disgraced financier. After all, it’s hard to see NFL commissioner Roger Goodell suspending Tisch; Bari Weiss has stuck by Attia, who had recently been announced as a CBS News contributor; and Ratner has Rush Hour 4 to look forward to. Some world.

And now to the main event…

A Creditor-on-Creditor Violence Safe Space

A Creditor-on-Creditor Violence Safe Space

Having had enough of “liability management” carnage, U.S. companies facing Chapter 11 have started going across the pond for a softer landing.

William D. Cohan William D. Cohan

Creditor-on-creditor violence has been all the rage on Wall Street in recent years, as my loyal readers well know, for one simple reason: Companies can get away with this behavior, which forces their lenders to battle it out for supremacy in their struggling capital structures. Known more formally in banker pillow talk as “liability management exercises,” its recent leading proponents have been Lionsgate, Saks Global, Serta, and TriMark. Attorneys at Kirkland & Ellis and M&A advisors at PJT Partners have been its top practitioners.

But there may be a new trend dawning in the world of corporate bankruptcies. Recently, a trickle—soon to be a steady stream, perhaps?—of U.S.-based companies have bypassed typical Chapter 11 proceedings in the homeland and migrated to the U.K. courts to pull off a restructuring—potentially to the benefit of some creditors and, surprisingly, existing equity holders. In short, the U.K. route is cheaper, faster, avoids the “absolute priority” rule, and gives equity holders in a company a shred of hope that they won’t be wiped out, as is often the case in the States.

In the typical U.S. restructuring process, somebody always gets screwed—often lots of somebodies, perhaps in the form of creditor-on-creditor violence (Lionsgate, Saks) or via subordinated creditors converting their debt to equity and thereby wiping out the existing equity holders (Revco and Federated Department Stores, among many others). In other words, the bankruptcy process in the United States is clever, effective, and gets the job done, but not without some serious pain for the equity holders or debt holders, or even the vulture investors who bought the debt at a discount and end up getting less recovery than they were hoping for. It’s very Darwinian.

The development of distressed U.S. companies looking to the U.K. courts could change that dynamic. Fossil, the Texas-based maker of affordable but stylish watches, crossed the pond to effect the restructuring of its $300 million or so in debt. TI Automotive ($1 billion of liabilities) and McDermott International (more than $1 billion in liabilities) have gone the U.K. route, too.

And then there’s the recent case of Argo Blockchain, a Bitcoin mining company with corporate offices in Delaware that’s listed both on the Nasdaq and in the U.K. In its heyday, Argo had a market value of more than $1 billion. Since then, its stock has fallen 99 percent. Argo is not a big company, but its use of the U.K. courts to restructure its debts is a harbinger of what other companies may soon choose to do to preserve some value for equity holders.

Argo in London Town

Argo Blockchain had around $143 million of debt in 2022, a year or so after it went public, and managed to be profitable at times thanks to the Bitcoin boom. The company’s debt was reduced to around $75 million in 2023, after a refinancing and asset sales; it also repaid a $35 million secured loan in 2024. That year, Argo had about $47 million in revenue and a net loss of $55 million.

In its financial statements, Argo explained that there was “material uncertainty” about its ability to continue as a going concern. At the time, it had $40 million of 8.75 percent senior unsecured notes—not a lot of debt, mind you, but sometimes even one dollar of debt is too much for a company losing money amid a challenging economic outlook. Attempts to raise new capital in 2025 failed.

That’s when the company turned to the London courts. Last month, using what’s known as a Part 26A restructuring, under the 2006 U.K. Companies Act, Argo was able to revamp its capital structure—converting $40 million of unsecured notes into about a 10 percent stake in the restructured Argo. Another crypto mining company, Growler Mining Tuscaloosa, based in Alabama, agreed to provide Argo with $7.5 million in secured financing during the restructuring, which it then converted to equity. Growler also agreed to invest another $3.5 million of equity in Argo and contribute about $24 million of its crypto mining assets, all of which gave Growler an 87.5 percent stake in the challenged company.

Existing Argo shareholders ended up with 2.5 percent in Argo, which remains listed on the Nasdaq, with a market value these days of around $16 million. The bad news for Growler is that the $35 million or so it invested in cash and assets in Argo last month is now worth around $14 million. But it’s still early days post-deal, obviously, and the stock barely trades, so who knows.

The bigger point is that this was the first time a Nasdaq-listed company was able to restructure in the U.K. without delisting its stock in the U.S., according to John Bringardner, the executive editor of Debtwire. The Argo deal, Bringardner told me, “opens a path to other companies trying to do the same thing” and avoid the higher fees charged by U.S. lawyers, as well as the many motions and procedural steps required by U.S. bankruptcy courts. Then, of course, there’s the fact that the previous equity holders retained some of their preexisting equity. “In a U.S. bankruptcy,” Bringardner continued, “equity is wiped out first. It’s the rare case where you have equity staying intact. So, this is attractive.”

Garden of Edens

New Fortress Energy, a U.S.-based liquified natural gas company with some $9 billion of net debt and a net leverage ratio of 11.5x, may also go this route, according to Debtwire. Partly owned by billionaire hedge fund manager and Milwaukee Bucks co-owner Wes Edens—the company’s largest shareholder, with a stake of at least 20 percent, according to its 2025 proxy statement—New Fortress has more than $700 million of debt maturing in one year or less, and could have another $5.6 billion due and payable, depending on certain “springing” maturities. In other words, there’s lots of financial pressure on the company, involving blown covenants and potential cross defaults.

New Fortress’s market capitalization of around $375 million is down 97 percent in the past five years. Last year, the company asked to delay filing its third-quarter 2025 financials while it attempted to negotiate a financial restructuring in the face of an upcoming interest payment. And while there has been some good news for New Fortress lately—a new $4 billion, seven-year L.N.G. supply contract with Puerto Rico, as well as several successful L.M.E.s and asset sales in 2024—“the positive momentum comes against a backdrop of unresolved risks,” Debtwire wrote, adding that the company has hired financial and legal advisors. Late last year, New Fortress entered into a forbearance agreement after it failed to make a $30.6 million interest payment on one of its term loans, according to a recent Bloomberg piece.

Why would New Fortress go this route? Debtwire hypothesized that the U.K. process would allow New Fortress to deal with one group of creditors without having to deal with the others, thereby avoiding the “absolute priority” restrictions of U.S. bankruptcy code. And, perhaps most pointedly, Edens would stand a much better chance of preserving his ownership stake. In the U.S., it would be all but certain that New Fortress’s existing equity holders would be wiped out, given the large amount of debt on the company relative to its equity value.

To get a better handle on whether this new phenomenon represents a paradigm shift in corporate restructuring, I rang up Timothy Hynes, the head of credit research at Debtwire. Hynes said he was not surprised that U.S. companies are starting to seek out the U.K. court system to solve their restructuring woes. “The way capitalism works,” he told me, “if it works for somebody, and it makes sense—there’s going to be people running over to the U.K. This appears to have worked, so you could see a stampede of bankruptcies in the U.K. for U.S. companies.”

The only unintended consequence I envision could relate to the situation in which a distressed debt investor buys bonds at a discount with the sole intention of converting them into a controlling equity position in a company as part of a restructuring or bankruptcy proceeding—the way that firms like Apollo once made their bones. But that tactic may become moot in this new paradigm, especially if existing equity holders are able to preserve their positions. That doesn’t mean distressed investors won’t be able to make their return hurdles, but they might have to achieve them through getting a higher interest rate, or warrants, or both, and by making sure they buy at a smart price in the first place.

Anyway, if this does become a thing, we may be seeing a new approach to the bankruptcy process. “Lawyers are definitely pitching this,” Bringardner told me, “and it might actually take off, because it’s effective.”

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