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Hello and welcome back to The Best & The Brightest. I’m Leigh Ann Caldwell, back
in your inbox after some weekend technical difficulties and hoping everyone had a happy Mother’s Day, especially my mom.
Tomorrow, I’m hosting my next Puck Power Breakfast with Republican Rep. Adrian Smith of Nebraska, hosted by the American Chemistry Council. Smith is the chair of the Ways and Means Trade subcommittee, so we’ll talk a lot about trade, tariffs, and the news of the day. If I don’t see you there, you can read about it later this
week.
Congress is back in town, where members will face questions about the party-line reconciliation bill the Senate will take up next week to fund ICE and Customs and Border Protection… and $1 billion for Trump’s ballroom. That last item is becoming a political nightmare for Republicans, some of whom don’t want to approve money for a project Trump promised wouldn’t be funded by taxpayers, even if it’s earmarked for security expenditures. Everyone is watching closely to
see how the Senate parliamentarian will rule on the provision.
The Virginia Supreme Court’s decision on Friday to throw out the state’s new voter-approved maps is obviously a major setback for House Democrats, wiping out newly gained seats in the redistricting wars. It also handed James Blair, Trump’s political director, his second big victory in a week. Blair, who recently left the White House to run the president’s outside political operation, suddenly looks resurgent
after a string of bruising losses. (I wrote last week about how the Indiana primaries—in which Trump-backed candidates felled most of the state senators who opposed his redistricting plan—were critical to restoring Blair’s standing in Trumpworld.) After Friday’s win in Virginia, Team Trump rallied behind Blair, taunting critics and declaring his strategy vindicated.
In today’s issue, I’ve got new reporting on how the Democratic Party is still struggling to overcome its internal warfare, which
reignited this week after the D.C.C.C. endorsed candidates in several competitive primaries in key pickup seats, once again pitting ideological factions against leadership. Plus, our new colleague Marianna Sotomayor got her hands on some exclusive polling, and I have a scoop on Republican Rep. Chip Roy’s Texas attorney general race.
Also mentioned in this issue: Jordan Wood, Randy Villegas, Chris
Larsen, Joe Baldacci, Ryan Mackenzie, Jasmeet Bains, Kamala Harris, David Valadao, Suzan DelBene, Josh Shapiro, Ken Paxton, Lamont McClure, Ryan Crosswell, Susan Wild, Mayes Middleton, John Cornyn, Bernie Sanders, Hakeem Jeffries,
Carol Obando-Derstine, Chuck Schumer, and more…
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A Democratic group has inserted itself, once again, into Chip Roy’s race for Texas attorney
general. The Invest in Tomorrow Coalition PAC, a pro-renewable-energy group funded largely by Ripple co-founder and clean-energy evangelist Chris Larsen, has launched a $250,000 digital, streaming, and cable ad buy attacking Roy from the right on conservative-friendly platforms like Truth Social and Rumble. The group insists it will double that spending before Roy’s May 26 runoff against Mayes Middleton. In Texas media, that money won’t
overwhelm airwaves, but it’s a costly troll that is clearly getting under Roy’s skin.
The ad resurrects Roy’s rejection of Trump’s 2020 election denialism. “I will not be voting to reject the election,” Roy said on the House floor while wearing a Covid mask. “And that vote may well sign my political death warrant. So be it.” The narrator then delivers the
punchline: “Trump doesn’t want Chip Roy as attorney general. And neither should we.” The campaign marks the next phase after the PAC’s $650,000 digital effort during the primary—an ad buy I scooped in March—which helped force Roy into a runoff.
Speaking of Texas, with the runoff just 16 days away, the Senate Leadership Fund still has not spent
any money to help Senator John Cornyn in his showdown against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. Cornyn, S.L.F., and allied groups spent at least $70 million during the primary.
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| Marianna Sotomayor
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If the midterm election hinged solely on the country’s mood, and not the redistricting arms race,
Democrats would appear poised to reclaim the House on a wave of anti-Trump emotion. A new poll conducted by center-left think tank Third Way and the public-opinion firm GBAO, and shared exclusively with me, found that voters prefer a Democratic Congress over Republican control by a margin of 48 percent to 40 percent. The biggest movement came from Latinos, who have shifted eight points toward Dems since the fall, and young men, who moved 10 points in that direction. (Third Way, an occasional
punching bag for leftists, has become more influential with Democratic leadership following the party’s 2024 shellacking.)
But the headwinds begin the moment Democrats start imagining themselves back in power. One in five voters planning to support Democrats in November still does not trust them to handle the issues they rank as most important: inflation, tariffs, the cost of living, and the economy. Several House Democrats have privately warned me that the party could repeat the mistake
it made after the 2018 midterms, when members became so consumed with investigating Trump that voters came to see the party as being defined by opposition alone.
Third Way’s findings captured that conundrum. Overall, voters overwhelmingly said Democrats should prioritize lowering costs over investigations or impeachment—opting for economic relief by a margin of 67 percent to 27 percent. Independents mirrored those results. But among Democrats, 49 percent want investigations prioritized
while 47 percent want lower costs. Senior House Democrats tell me they understand they’ll need to deliver on both affordability and accountability, but that’s easier said than done with an ideologically fractured caucus.
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An unusual set of primary interventions by the party’s congressional campaign arm has
infuriated progressive candidates, who accuse out-of-touch leadership of putting their thumb on the scale. Democratic sources argue the committee just wants to win.
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Last Sunday evening, House Democratic campaign staffers began making calls to key political groups and
candidate backers with a warning: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was planning to endorse against their preferred candidates in a handful of competitive primaries. These were courtesy calls—an effort to soften the blow and explain the committee’s rare decision to tip the scales—but the candidates themselves didn’t learn the news until around midnight on the East Coast. By then, it was too late for them to control the narrative, though they still had plenty of time to
register their outrage after the press release went live at 5 a.m.
An endorsement from the party establishment brings real advantages: money, donor networks, staffing support, strategic guidance—and returned phone calls. Often it creates a clear runway to victory. And that’s exactly what eight candidates got this week when the D.C.C.C. announced the new endorsements in its “Red to Blue” program, including four in contested Democratic primaries.
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But the move also infuriated large swaths of a Democratic coalition still trying to find its footing after
2024. Many Dems had at least temporarily shelved their grievances from that cycle—over Biden staying in the race too long, the lack of a real nominating process when he left the ticket, the belief that the party had undermined Harris anyway, etcetera—in the interest of beating Republicans this November. But the D.C.C.C.’s intervention reopened old wounds, days after the U.S. Supreme Court threw the party into fresh turmoil by gutting the Voting Rights Act, and
just before the Virginia Supreme Court struck down a Dem-friendly, voter approved gerrymander in that state.
The result was fury at party leadership among grassroots organizers, donors, and passed-over candidates—just as the party is grappling with a new, major structural deficit heading into November. “There is a lot of justifiable anger about the whole thing,” former Pennsylvania congresswoman Susan Wild told me. “It’s very frustrating. They really should not be
putting their thumb on the scale.”
When Randy Villegas got his Sunday night call warning him that the D-trip planned to endorse his opponent, Jasmeet Bains, in the primary for Rep. David Valadao’s Central Valley California seat, he exploded. Villegas has raised more money than Bains and has the same amount of cash on hand. But he’s also running to Bains’s left, and party leaders believe he’s too liberal for his D+1 district, which
California carved out of Trump-leaning territory in redistricting. By Villegas’s account, the D.C.C.C. staffer who called him explained that party leadership, staff, and “key stakeholders” recommended the Bains endorsement. “This is why faith in Democratic leadership is at an all-time low,” Villegas, a teacher and small business owner, told me. “What’s really going on is that a bunch of D.C. insiders and elites would rather have someone bend the knee to party leadership and to
corporate interests.”
Villegas, who has support from the Working Families Party and the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, said the D-trip had repeatedly assured him they would stay out of the race until after the June 2 primary, a claim the organization denies. (Rep. Suzan DelBene, the D.C.C.C. chair, didn’t rule primary endorsements out, telling me in December, at a Puck Power Breakfast, that intervening in Democratic primaries remained “a pretty rare scenario.”) The
Congressional Progressive Caucus, angered that leadership bypassed a Hispanic candidate in a district that is 70 percent Latino, issued a pointed statement: “Voters, not the D.C.C.C., should pick Democratic nominees.”
Democratic sources argue the committee simply wants the strongest general-election candidates in the easiest pickup opportunities. Plus, having to do less work in prime pickups would free up resources for deeper red districts. Sources close to the D-trip note that Bains has
the support of the Asian American ASPIRE PAC, the SEIU, the Blue Dogs, and Emily’s List—a coalition spanning several Democratic factions. She also represents 60 percent of the newly redrawn district in her state assembly seat and outperformed Kamala Harris there by 7.4 points in 2024. But activists see something entirely different—consultants and party elites deciding what voters should want, rather than letting voters decide for themselves.
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The establishment intervention could backfire. Villegas said his fundraising surged after the
endorsement of Bains became public, although his campaign wouldn’t put a number on it. In Maine, the party backed State Sen. Joe Baldacci, who comes from a family with deep Maine political roots, over former Hill staffer and political consultant Jordan Wood, who has twice as much cash on hand. Wood immediately blasted leadership: “The fact that the D.C.C.C. would come in and try to decide this primary literally weeks before we vote is just
another example of how broken our Democratic leadership is,” he posted on X. Former Rep. Wild told me the Democrats would have “egg on their faces” if the primaries were held today.
Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro has also angered state Democrats by endorsing in a crowded primary to challenge freshman Rep. Ryan Mackenzie in
Pennsylvania’s 7th district, another top pickup opportunity. Wild told me she warned Shapiro the move would create unnecessary resentment in a swing state where he remains broadly popular ahead of a possible presidential campaign. Still, Shapiro backed Bob Brooks, the head of the state firefighters’ union, a crucial constituency for the governor. “He wants to show that he can deliver a state,” Wild said. “But I just don’t think it was a smart way to go.”
Brooks’s support
from both Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders proved good enough for the D-trip. Wild is backing Carol Obando-Derstine, another candidate in the contest, and said that when party officials called her about the Brooks endorsement, they explained they needed to blunt the momentum of yet another candidate vying for the district’s Democratic nomination. Sources told me that the candidate was Lamont McClure, the former Northampton County executive who
has the support of a dark-money group that people in the district think is funded by Republicans. (Ryan Crosswell, a former prosecutor and Republican until last year, and new to the district, is also in the race.) “They were paying too much attention to fundraising and D.C. consultants,” Obando-Derstine told me.
The D.C.C.C.’s involvement in primaries is hardly new, and it has always enraged some faction of the party. But the anger feels more combustible now because
distrust in the establishment runs so deep. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer and the wider party apparatus have already angered activists by aggressively backing preferred candidates in that chamber’s primaries. Until now, House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries has avoided intervening. But with even more seats to win after the Virginia Supreme Court overruled the state’s new map and the Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act, the party isn’t thinking
twice about picking winners and losers. Democratic leadership is betting that winning the House in November outweighs the fury they’re igniting today.
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