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Democrats

joe biden

Biden’s World War Z

Exclusive new polling from Echelon Insights, in partnership with Puck, shows a significant Democratic enthusiasm deficit among two key demographics: Gen Z and Black voters. So why isn’t the White House all that worried?
Peter Hamby • February 20, 2024
Matthew Belloni • February 16, 2024
Bob Iger Has a Brand Problem, But Does It Matter?
bob iger
An exclusive survey reveals that Americans (and especially Republicans) are twice as likely to think of Disney unfavorably as other media companies, even if that doesn’t necessarily mean they won’t see Pixar, Star Wars, or other Mouse House movies in theaters.
Tara Palmeri • February 16, 2024
The Old Man & The Scene
joe biden
The readout from the Cafe Milano crowd about Biden’s age and vanity.
James Lankford Kyrsten Sinema
Abby Livingston • February 6, 2024
The Circus on the Hill
News, notes, observations, and horrors surrounding the latest machinations on Capitol Hill.
Ever since Hamas insurgents attacked Israel on Oct 7, the collective left has been watching with bewilderment as a stunning divide has emerged among its ranks.
Abby Livingston • January 3, 2024
Gen Z House Fault Lines & TikTok Geopolitics
Assessing a complex, nightmarish, and occasionally tragic generational divide within Democratic House offices.
The never ending Kevin McCarthy vs. Matt Gaetz feud is playing out in proxy fights across several states.
Abby Livingston • December 26, 2023
McCarthy’s Last Gasp & Dem Civil War
The 2024 election will be one of the ugliest in history. Will party infighting at the House race level exacerbate the chaos?
Will young voters who are currently sour on Biden vote for him anyway in 2024 because they understand the stakes of the election?
Peter Hamby • December 19, 2023
Biden’s Reversal of Fortune
Yes, Gen Z has soured on the 81-year-old president. But Democratic strategists see a “reverse coattails” effect emerging in the data: an opportunity for the White House to tap local outrage to set up a national win.
President Joe Biden departs the White House on December 11, 2023.
Peter Hamby • December 12, 2023
Biden’s Hope & Change
Professional Democrats are split between those with a near-religious conviction that Biden’s problems are overblown, and those who believe the freakout is justified. The polling is hard to wish away, but focus group testing suggests the reality isn’t so simple, either.
The real, existing threat from Kennedy is right there, out in the open, staring at Democrats in the face.
Peter Hamby • November 13, 2023
Biden’s Kennedy Curse
The media fixation on Romney-Manchin is out of proportion to the real threat that almost nobody is talking about: Kennedy could very well be on the debate stage alongside Biden next fall, a nightmare scenario that could allow Trump to waltz into the White House.
Abby Livingston • November 8, 2023
Biden Poll Jitters & A ’24 Pre-Mortem
A conversation with strategist Tom Bonier, the Democratic data guru, about last night’s surprising election result, the Times poll freakout, and how Trump broke the political forecasting business for a generation.