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Welcome back to The Best & The Brightest, I’m Peter Hamby. And
yes, I’m back in the saddle after a few months of leave, bonding with our newborn. Thanks to my wonderful colleagues for covering for me during my absence. I could not be more grateful.
Tonight, I’ve obtained an exclusive new poll of college students from Generation Lab, which asked students their opinions about Charlie Kirk in the wake of his murder. In short, the poll found that Kirk was about as famous as it gets on college campuses. But the survey
also revealed that the right-wing activist was hardly beloved by young people, despite MAGAworld’s best efforts to eulogize him as the voice of a generation. More on those poll numbers below…
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A MESSAGE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Hospitals are here when you need us most – but hospitals across America are at risk of closure.
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But first, here’s Abby with some news and notes from the Hill…
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| Abby Livingston
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- Shutdown odds grow: Hill
Republicans have rolled out their short-term spending proposal, which would fund the government through November 21 and increase funding for member security. As expected, the Democratic minority leaders, Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries, came together to reject it and chastise their counterparts for declining to work across the aisle. “The House Republican–only spending bill fails to meet the needs of the American people and does nothing to stop the looming
healthcare crisis,” they said in a joint statement.
Schumer, of course, is the central figure in this drama, since Speaker Mike Johnson has a nearly flawless record moving big votes through the House this term. And as we saw in March, Schumer is also the most shutdown-resistant Democrat on the Hill, so it’s noteworthy that his official X account has spent most of the day laying the groundwork to blame any shutdown on Republicans. So the odds it will happen continue to
climb. Meanwhile, the Democrat most likely to compromise, Sen. John Fetterman, told Leigh Ann that he’ll vote for the C.R. - More House Republicans bail: Over the weekend, Texas Rep. Michael McCaul announced his retirement, which was mostly expected: He’s already termed out as a committee
chairman, his district has been dramatically redrawn, and he was in the mix to be a university leader earlier this year. This follows the retirement announcement of his fellow Texan, Morgan Luttrell, in part to actually spend more time with his family (i.e., in this case, people believe him).
Members from both parties are racing for the exits—in the House, it’s three Republicans to five Democrats; in the Senate, there are four retirements on each side. This suggests that retirements have little to do with one party expecting to lose in the midterms, though history, as well as a trio of high-profile Republican retirements—Sens. Joni Ernst and Thom Tillis and Rep. Don Bacon—signal a tough year ahead for the G.O.P. Members are also
leaving for other reasons, including redistricting, generational change, and fears about personal safety.
Redistricting is also likely to take its toll: California Republicans Ken Calvert, Doug LaMalfa, and Kevin Kiley, along with Democrats Julie Johnson, Marcy Kaptur, Emilia Sykes, and Marc Veasey, could be among the next to hang it up, as all could face
challenging new district lines. (Though Sykes insists she’s running no matter what.) Elderly House Democrats are also under increasing pressure to retire in favor of younger candidates. And, in the aftermath of the Kirk
assassination, many members are likely having hard conversations with their families about the risks of further service.
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New data from Generation Lab undercuts Trump’s mythmaking about his murdered ally, who was
unquestionably a savvy organizer, even if he wasn’t at all popular on the campuses he loved to visit.
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Charlie Kirk was certainly famous—in politics, on campuses, in the halls of Donald
Trump’s White House. But I imagine that, for plenty of sports fans attending Major League Baseball or NFL games over the weekend, it must have been a tad confusing to peer up from the stands and see Kirk’s square-jawed face on stadium jumbotrons. A bunch of teams—from the New York Yankees to the Dallas Cowboys to the LSU Tigers—honored Kirk this way, with tributes and a moment of silence.
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A MESSAGE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Hospitals need your help to stay. Protect 24/7 care—because when the doors close, it is too late.
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As John Heilemann and I
discussed on today’s episode of The Powers That Be, some of these teams were probably honoring Kirk with sincerity, a gesture toward their red-state fan bases. But it also seems rather obvious that team owners were trying to get on the good side of a vengeful and litigious president, who had just lost one of his top loyalists to an assassin’s bullet. When
was the last time a political figure—let alone someone as divisive as Kirk—was honored around the country at sporting events? I can’t think of a single one. Inside the stadiums, the receptions were mixed. When the New Orleans Saints asked for a moment of silence to honor Kirk, he was met with a range of cheers and boos. But it’s also not hard to imagine some Abita-swilling Saints fan hearing Kirk’s name in the Superdome and saying to himself, Who?
The seemingly inescapable paeans
to Kirk are the consequence of a political culture dominated by the Very Online—including the men and women who staff the Trump White House and credit the Turning Point USA founder for building a MAGA media culture that drew younger voters into the Republican fold. They are correct about Kirk’s organizational prowess. He was a workhorse political organizer; when I was reporting from college campuses in swing states last fall, Kirk and I kept in close touch about the college towns and counties he
was trying to flip to Trump with red-hatted TPUSA organizers.
But even though Kirk had a massive online following and powerful friends in the White House, it needs to be said that even among college students, Kirk was not popular at all. Yes, it was a spectacle if he arrived on your campus, a bonanza of lib-owning and rhetorical combat all recorded for YouTube posterity. But the majority of students on those campuses stayed away. Never forget: For most Americans, politics remains pretty
damn tedious.
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I’ve obtained fresh polling from Generation Lab, an outfit that surveys college students about politics and
society, that bears out these mixed feelings. They polled a sample of 1,030 college students—enrolled at community colleges, technical colleges, trade schools, and public and private four-year institutions—in the two days following Kirk’s death for a sense of how his assassination was being processed on the campuses he so loved to visit. First things first: Generation Lab found that Kirk was almost universally known among college kids: 94 percent of students had heard of him, a remarkable level
of name I.D. for any political figure.
However, most college students were not fans of the right-wing provocateur at all, the poll found. A combined 70 percent of students said they either “strongly disagree” or “somewhat disagree” with Kirk’s views. Only 30 percent said they agreed.
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This result undercuts some of Trump’s mythmaking about Kirk and young voters. Trump often claims to have won
Gen Z voters in the 2024 election, which is not true. While Trump narrowly won young men, thanks in part to Kirk’s hard work, young voters overall broke for Kamala Harris. The poll also found that white students were more likely to agree with Kirk’s views than Black or Latino students. And it uncovered that students at two-year colleges were more likely to agree with Kirk than students at four-year colleges or universities. Young men were also 10 points more
likely to agree with Kirk than young women.
One bright spot in the poll: Despite recent social media posts from angry young liberals dancing on Kirk’s grave—evidence of “hate speech” from the left, according to the White House—the vast majority of college students disagreed with the question: Do you think it is ever okay to physically harm someone because of their political beliefs? Among students, 86 percent said no, while just 13 percent responded, “Yes, it’s okay in some
cases.” A statistically insignificant 1 percent of students said physical harm is okay in many cases. “It’s a fringe view, but one that’s had the worst consequences,” said Cyrus Beschloss, the founder of Generation Lab.
The polling firm also found that most college students didn’t regularly watch or listen to Kirk’s content: 36 percent said they never listened to or watched Kirk in the past year, while another 33 percent said they had engaged “once or twice.” Meanwhile, a
combined 30 percent said they watched or listened to Kirk “a few times per month,” “a few times per week,” or daily. That’s not a small number—any legacy media company would love to have their content reach 30 percent of college students every month. Kirk was absolutely a success story in his world, a brilliant political activist and a talented communicator, as I wrote back in March. His murder is a tragedy, an affront to our democratic values, and another ugly sign that political violence is becoming commonplace.
But this poll from Generation Lab reveals that even among his base—college students, the Americans who knew him best—Kirk was a deeply unpopular figure. It does make you wonder
how he made it into the bright lights of Yankee Stadium last weekend—and how much Americans will tolerate Trump’s promises of vengeance in his name.
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