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Welcome back to The Best & The Brightest, I’m Peter Hamby. In today’s issue, a closer look at the mounting anxiety in Democratic circles about Biden’s weakness with independents and even some voters in his own party—and why the obvious fears about a third-party challenger (Joe Manchin? Larry Hogan?) might actually be misplaced.
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Welcome back to The Best & The Brightest, I’m Peter Hamby. In today’s issue, a closer look at the mounting anxiety in Democratic circles about Biden’s weakness with independents and even some voters in his own party—and why the obvious fears about a third-party challenger (Joe Manchin? Larry Hogan?) might actually be misplaced.

But first… a few words from my colleague Abby Livingston, on the Manchin problem and more.

The Capitol Hill Cafeteria Report
An utterly indispensable, high-minded, and, yes, occasionally dishy readout of what our lawmakers are really legislating behind closed doors.

By Abby Livingston

  • No Labels, Mo’ Problems: If there’s anything that can unite Democrats these days, it’s a shared hatred of No Labels. Politico’s Burgess Everett reports that the centrist Third Way group and the liberal MoveOn have formed an unlikely alliance...

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Biden’s “Double-Hater”-itis
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There’s one simple rule of presidential politics: If you lose independents in swing states, you lose the election. And Biden is increasingly vulnerable.
PETER HAMBY PETER HAMBY
It’s Xanax season for Democrats. The presidential election is more than a year away, but Joe Biden’s party is starting to worry more and more about his re-election chances in 2024. Maybe it’s summer boredom, but the anxieties are real—about Biden’s creaky age, his frustratingly low approval ratings, or his inability to communicate what should be a series of popular achievements to an electorate that has cared less and less about politics since Donald Trump left office. Those plot points are all contributing to the stress. But a new threat is raising everyone’s blood pressure...
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