The events of the past few weeks have dramatically altered the terrain of the presidential battlefield. The gunman’s bullet that almost killed Donald Trump in Pennsylvania has instead given his campaign a surge of vitality and an ocean of free media attention, further strengthening his messianic hold over the Republican Party as he prepares to accept the nomination alongside his vice-presidential pick, J.D. Vance, in Milwaukee this week. The presidential debate, too, continues to nudge the race away from President Biden, who still faces real concerns from members of his own party about his viability in November, even as he seems to have suppressed the Democratic revolt on Capitol Hill… for now. The polls have now shifted slightly in Trump’s direction—putting Biden in a hole nationally and in the crucial battlegrounds—and that’s before factoring how the assassination attempt is playing with voters. As of this writing, according to the data, more Democrats than ever now see Biden as too old to be president.