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Biden’s Reversal of Fortune

Yes, Gen Z has soured on the 81-year-old president. But Democratic strategists see a “reverse coattails” effect emerging in the data: an opportunity for the White House to tap local outrage to set up a national win.

Will young voters who are currently sour on Biden vote for him anyway in 2024 because they understand the stakes of the election?
Will young voters who are currently sour on Biden vote for him anyway in 2024 because they understand the stakes of the election? Photo: Mandel Ngan/Getty Images
Peter Hamby
December 19, 2023

After I wrote last week about Joe Biden’s slumping poll numbers—still slumping as of today, according to this new Monmouth poll—Democratic strategist Amanda Litman seized on an idea buried near the bottom of my piece. It offered a glimmer of hope for Democrats—the idea that the young voters who are currently sour on Biden will vote for him and the Democrats anyway come 2024 because they understand the stakes of the election. “A reminder that especially for young voters, reverse coattails will be THE story of 2024,” Litman tweeted. “They’ll show up inspired by state & local races and, yeah, also vote for Biden.”