Abby Livingston November 8, 2023
A conversation with strategist Tom Bonier, the Democratic data guru, about last night’s surprising election result, the Times poll freakout, and how Trump broke the political forecasting business for a generation.
Julia Ioffe November 8, 2023
Reflection on the tragedy in Israel, tragedy in Gaza, and where we go from here.
The public panic over those polls was so widespread that the Biden campaign emailed confidential talking points to friendly surrogates.
Peter Hamby November 7, 2023
Amid a party-wide freak-out over a set of terrifying New York Times polls, Democrats are guardedly watching Tuesday’s elections for signs that the immense backlash over abortion bans, which turbocharged last year’s midterm results, can still deliver them the White House.
President Biden Speaks on his Bidenomics Economic Plan and Its Investment in Passenger Rail at an Amtrak Facility in Delaware
Abby Livingston November 6, 2023
Measuring the level of the political freak-out under the dome as Democrats absorb the latest Biden-Trump poll and weigh their dwindling options.


Abby Livingston November 3, 2023
News and notes on who’s up and who’s down as Republicans return to D.C. and the Johnson honeymoon ends.
The pro-gun, anti-vaxxing, conspiratorial Kennedy appears to be cannibalizing a portion of the Trump base.
Tara Palmeri November 2, 2023
As we chug further along toward a predictable presidential contest between unpopular Boomer candidates, the likelihood of fringe third-party candidates shaking up the race is becoming increasingly inevitable. Among the questions around town: Could Biden face a Perot, or a Nader?
Tina Nguyen November 1, 2023
Democrats aren’t the only ones accusing the newbie of waging “political games” with his too-clever-by-half proposal to offset Israel aid by gutting the I.R.S. “He may be playing with fire,” a Republican lobbyist told me. But others see a speaker willing to use the gavel more aggressively, and more creatively, than his predecessors.
Julia Ioffe November 1, 2023
Israel has the right to defend itself and deter further invasion, but foreign policy insiders, and now Sullivan and Biden, are increasingly discussing the thresholds for retaliation, particularly under the covenants of international law. What does that mean for Israel—and Hamas?


Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips infuriated the White House by brazenly planting his flag in New Hampshire.
Peter Hamby October 31, 2023
The little-known Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips believes he can successfully primary Biden by leaning hard (of course) into the gerontocracy argument. But neither time, nor math, appears to be on his side.
As the war on the ground enters new phases and delivers new casualties, the information war also intensifies.
Baratunde Thurston October 29, 2023
A conversation with Noam Shuster-Eliassi, the Israeli comedian and peace activist, on living through the hell of physical war and the turbulence of social media distortion—and the complexity of grieving for both the Israelis and Palestinians.
When Johnson was elected on Wednesday, McCarthy’s closest allies and senior aides woke up to the harsh reality that it was time to pack up the speaker’s office.
Tara Palmeri October 27, 2023
McCarthy, who has long demonstrated an extraordinary comfort with the longest of long games, and an unparalleled ability to withstand humiliation, must now confront his next act. Or will he hold on for another day?
It’s an open question whether Mike Johnson will be on the curb soon enough, yet another victim of this ungovernable conference.
Tina Nguyen October 26, 2023
The MAGA contingent of the House G.O.P. conference—the two dozen-ish lawmakers who made McCarthy’s life hell—aren’t putting the same screws to Mike Johnson. But they have their demands of the newbie boss, too.


Ambassador Dennis Ross was Bill Clinton’s Middle East envoy, and the chief U.S. negotiator in the 2000 Camp David Summit.
Julia Ioffe October 25, 2023
A conversation with Dennis Ross, the chief U.S. negotiator in the 2000 peace talks, about why they fell apart, how Israelis came to believe that the Palestinian problem could be managed, and how Oct. 7 exploded that fiction.
Tom Emmer’s speakership bid collapsed on Tuesday afternoon.
Abby Livingston October 24, 2023
News and notes on an unprecedented era in congressional history.
Peter Hamby October 23, 2023
The uncompromising politics and tortured jargon of campus activists are no longer confined to college campuses. Democrats in Congress say they’re worried that young progressives attacking Israel are providing ammo for right-wing opponents and hurting their own cause.