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The Biden Anxiety Meter & the Axelrod Effect

President Biden Speaks on his Bidenomics Economic Plan and Its Investment in Passenger Rail at an Amtrak Facility in Delaware
Democrats' usual pre-election jitters were amplified into a full-blown panic attack on Sunday following The New York Times’ latest 2024 poll showing Trump leading Biden in five of the six key swing states.
Abby Livingston
November 6, 2023

Over the past week, it’s become apparent that the House Republican anarchy masked some profound Democratic political class angst regarding the president’s re-election campaign, the party divide over Israel, etcetera. Of course, the usual pre-election jitters were amplified into a full-blown panic attack on Sunday following The New York Times’ latest 2024 poll showing Trump leading Biden in five of the six key swing states, including several where the lead was well outside the margin of error. Every member and consultant I’ve chatted with during the past 36 hours is talking about these numbers. Here is what the chattering class is chattering about:

  • The Axelrod effect: The poll, of course, was compounded by former Obama adviser David Axelrod observing on Twitter/X that “this will send tremors of doubt through the party”; that the stakes are “too dramatic to ignore”; and that “only Joe Biden can make this decision.”