Is Trump Headed for an Iran Quagmire?

Donald Trump
Trump’s previous military adventures have clearly taught him that he can plow forward, naysayers (and congressional authorization) be damned. If anything, this latest operation is teaching him that the naysayers would rather be on the winning team. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images
Julia Ioffe
March 1, 2026

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Americans awoke yesterday morning to the news that the U.S. and Israel had launched massive, country-wide strikes on Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and much of the country’s military and political leadership. Congress had been notified, but not exactly consulted, and early polls find the U.S. public ambivalent about a military action that is, in some ways, similar to the one we saw two months ago in Venezuela. Both operations, everyone could agree, took out horrible dictators. But hadn’t everyone also agreed, after Iraq, that regime change wasn’t the way to go? Moreover, as with Venezuela, President Trump’s stated explanations for attacking Iran haven’t been exactly clear: Is this about nukes? Regime change? Oil? Freedom for an oppressed people? All of the above?