The new year hasn’t even begun, and yet we already know it will be riddled with nightmarish, highway-accident-rubbernecking uncertainties, at least politically. Will Trump wrap up the Republican primary quickly or be drawn into a longer battle with Nikki Haley through Super Tuesday? Can Mike Johnson, the untested and underwhelming House speaker, manage the various juggling acts of his new job—impeachment, immigration, Israel, and Ukraine—while keeping the government open and preserving his party’s control of the chamber? And then there are the outcomes of Trump’s four criminal cases and 91 felony charges, and a rebooted Biden impeachment process, followed by a general election between two aging and unpopular candidates.
To help interpret the political tea leaves, I called up numerous D.C. insiders to glean their visions of 2024. Among them: Senator Lindsey Graham, Governor Chris Sununu, and Representatives Debbie Dingell, Brendan Boyle, Ritchie Torres, Kelly Armstrong, and Pat Ryan. Florida whisperer David Jolly and Trump confidant Roger Stone considered what’s next for the DeSantii. Iowa guru David Kochel, New Hampshire native son Matthew Bartlett, and South Carolina oracles Robert Godfrey and Katon Dawson offered predictions on the primaries. CNN legal analyst Elie Honig weighed in on the Trump trials. Senate experts Joe Hack and Jonathan Kott previewed the future of Congress, Manchin, and beyond. And finally, a doomsday scenario from the man without a party, Steve Schmidt.