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Of all the races in all the states in a turbulent midterm year, the battle for Michigan’s open Senate seat is becoming something of an obsession for political operatives in both parties. It’s the highest-stakes, most unpredictable contest on the map in 2026: Dems fret that a vicious primary could cost them retiring Sen. Gary Peters’ seat, while Republicans are salivating over the prospect of a pickup in a pivotal battleground—even in a tough year for the G.O.P.