Welcome back to The Best & The Brightest. I’m Peter Hamby. Tonight, Joe
Biden has returned to the campaign trail… sort of. The former president, who left the White House with historically low approval ratings, was considered potential campaign poison until his successor became even more unpopular. Now Biden—still fighting cancer—wants to help Democrats in the midterms. A few of them, at least, in places where his endorsement can actually make a difference. Where? More on his delicate political dance, below…
Also mentioned in this
issue: Linda Sánchez, Suzan DelBene, Hakeem Jeffries, Dan Koh, Cedric Richmond, Steve Ricchetti, Mike Donilon, Tony Blinken, Jeff Zients, TJ Ducklo, Annie Tomasini, Anthony Bernal, J.D. Vance, Barack Obama, Keisha Lance Bottoms,
Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and more…
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The Congressional Progressive Caucus and Rep. Linda Sánchez, chair of the
Congressional Hispanic Caucus’s political arm, are furious with Democratic leadership after the D.C.C.C. released its second “Red to Blue” list, identifying the candidates it’s most bullish on in competitive House primaries—generating a burst of public drama that’s been rare during Suzan DelBene’s D.C.C.C. tenure. “Voters, not the D.C.C.C., should pick Democratic nominees,” the C.P.C. declared in a statement to Axios.
But this morning, House Minority Leader Hakeem
Jeffries shrugged off the criticism in a conversation with Marianna Sotomayor, the brilliant Capitol Hill reporter who joined Puck this week. “The D.C.C.C. has traditionally only gotten involved in a handful of competitive primaries in advance of those taking place,” he told Marianna. “This time around, the decision was made to get involved in a handful of primaries by the D.C.C.C., including in PA-7 and CA-22, based on the D.C.C.C.’s assessment as to who was most
likely to be the strongest candidate in a highly competitive general election.” (Much more from Marianna’s interview tomorrow.)
Ever since Citizens United, Dems have tried to consolidate around primary candidates early to help the eventual nominees bank as much money as possible before the general—and before Republicans unleash super PAC spending. But this particular flavor of intraparty friction has become a lasting problem in a cycle when enthusiasm has produced too many
candidates. And though the D.C.C.C. has typically gotten its preferred candidates out of primaries in the past, it remains to be seen whether the anti-establishment current in the party could make their endorsements less effective this cycle.
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The former president may be deeply unpopular in red districts and an embarrassment even
in some blue ones, but for many Democrats, his endorsement still matters… a lot. And as Trump’s polling slips below his predecessor’s, plenty of midterm candidates are happy to receive the Biden bump. The lifelong politician, now 83 and battling cancer, is more than happy to oblige.
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“Hey Dan. Joe Biden. How are ya, pal?” Dan, in this case, was Dan Koh, whom
Biden was calling to endorse in a crowded Massachusetts Democratic congressional primary—at least for the staged video his campaign put out to announce the news. “By the way, I’ll come and campaign for you if you want me to,” Biden told him. Koh, who worked in the Biden White House, accepted the invite. “Every door, every diner, I know will want to see you here. So any time you want to come, you are warmly welcome,” he said.
Biden, of course, would not be welcome this midterm
year in many precincts beyond the reliably Democratic doors of Marblehead and Swampscott. He left office with an approval rating hovering around 40 percent, facing the wrath of many Democrats who blamed him for selfishly seeking reelection in 2024 despite obvious concerns about his age and allowing Donald Trump to reclaim the White House. Another possible reason for Biden’s lack of public appearances is his health: Last May, he was diagnosed with stage IV
prostate cancer that had metastasized to his bones, and he recently underwent a multiweek session of radiation. A source close to Biden’s family told me he is “responding well to treatment.”
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Even so, like most former presidents, Biden, now 83, is a lifer pol who doesn’t have a habit of sitting
still. He spends time gabbing on the phone with his core group of confidantes—Cedric Richmond, Steve Ricchetti, Mike Donilon, Tony Blinken, Jeff Zients, TJ Ducklo, Annie Tomasini, Anthony Bernal—the same crew who closed ranks
when so many Democrats rose up against him following his dreary debate performance in the summer of 2024. But unlike then, Biden is no longer a target of public frustration. Trump is.
Multiple recent polls have shown that voters preferred Biden’s economy to Trump’s. Last month, Echelon Insights found that Biden’s favorable rating was at 43 percent—still not great, but slightly higher than both Trump and J.D. Vance. Maybe that’s just a product of short memories, but Trump
has become so unpopular on so many issues that Biden has decided he doesn’t need to hide from voters anymore. “He understands the current political dynamic and, above all, wants to be helpful,” one Biden insider told me. “So if that means getting out there and using his voice, he’s not afraid to do that.”
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Biden almost certainly won’t be showing up in Michigan or North Carolina for swing-state political rallies
come fall. Nor is he in high demand, at least among the Democratic strategists I talk to who desperately want the party to break free from its old dogmas and aging politicians (Barack Obama being the popular exception). But the former president has decided he wants to help Democrats where he can—in places where he remains popular and only when he’s asked, and, so far, by endorsing candidates who have been loyal to him over the years. This Friday, Biden will
cross the river from Delaware to address a gathering of the Philadelphia Democratic Party, I’m told. Yes, that would be the Philadelphia Democratic Party—a local Biden-friendly crowd of union types and Black voters—not the Pennsylvania Democratic Party. But the old man just wants to play ball where he can.
In the past week, in addition to the Koh endorsement, Biden backed another alum of his White House, former Atlanta mayor Keisha Lance
Bottoms, for governor of Georgia. Koh was a special assistant to the president and deputy director of the White House Office of Intergovernmental Affairs. Bottoms worked at the Democratic National Committee and the White House Office of Public Engagement—and importantly, in Biden’s eyes, was the first prominent Black woman to defend him back in 2019, after Kamala Harris basically accused him of being a pro-busing segregationist during a debate
on NBC News.
Crucially, both are in competitive Democratic primaries, trying to make the case to voters who still hold Biden in relatively decent regard. “Keisha and Dan would not have asked for his endorsement if they didn’t have data that showed he would be helpful to them,” the Biden insider told me.
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So how helpful is a Biden endorsement? In a narrow context, very. Koh, who has also been endorsed
by Harris and Pete Buttigieg, told me that Biden’s endorsement video on Monday generated the best fundraising day of the quarter. Part of that is just the simple matter of attention: Biden is a famous former president. With local and national news not really covering a multi-candidate House primary in the Boston suburbs, making it difficult for candidates to reach voters, Biden’s social media presence provides a very loud megaphone. The former president
cross-posted his endorsement of Koh to Instagram, where he still has 16 million followers, and X, where he has 38 million.
Koh told me that in his campaign’s internal polling from earlier this year, Biden had an approval rating of 83 percent among primary voters in his district. Showcasing Biden in his campaign, he said, is a useful reminder of the former president’s decency at a time when Democratic voters are furious with Trump. “Nobody would ever fathom President Biden spending time
building monuments to himself or demolishing the White House—because he understood that’s just not what presidents should ever do,” Koh said.
In Georgia, where Black voters make up a majority of the vote in Democratic primaries, Biden also remains more of an asset than a liability. Bottoms, who is leading the polls in the governor’s race, is trying to win the primary outright on May 19 and avoid a runoff. Asking Biden to step in was an easy call, Democrats in the state told me. “He is
still very popular with base Democratic voters, especially Black voters in Georgia, where Keisha is in the driver’s seat,” said one Democratic strategist who has worked on campaigns in the state. “Democrats are overperforming in races all over the country. People regret voting for Donald Trump. And so with Biden, I think it’s a perfect storm for him to weigh in on this race. Here you have one of the biggest political figures in the country supporting a Black woman trying to become a
governor.”
Biden’s goodwill with Black voters—built over years of political work and cemented by joining Barack Obama in the White House—was his calling card when he ran for president in 2020. He catapulted to victory in the South Carolina primary that year, capitalizing on a debate performance in which he spoke movingly about the racist murders of nine Black churchgoers at Mother Emanuel AME Church in Charleston. Just this February, Biden got a hero’s welcome in South Carolina at an
event organized by the state Democratic Party honoring the sixth anniversary of his primary win—and tacitly thanking him for moving South Carolina to the front of the Democratic nominating calendar once he became president.
In its most recent poll from April, Echelon found that Biden’s favorable rating was a lowly 38 percent among white voters and just 42 percent among Latinos. But among Black voters, his support reached almost 70 percent. Which is precisely why the restless
Biden, as unpopular as he is with most voters, still has some cachet inside the Democratic Party beyond the Washington bubble—and he’s likely to use it this year as he works to shore up his tarnished legacy.
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