Tucked in between the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin in Russia and the mugshot arrest of Donald Trump in Georgia, last week’s Republican presidential debate was appropriately downgraded in relevance. It was a third-tier news event, befitting a bunch of third-tier campaigns, with all but one candidate currently running for third place. It’s worth stepping back to point out that despite all the snap takes about who “won” the debate in Milwaukee—Ron? Vivek? Nikki?—there were really only two winners: Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Biden won because many of the Republican candidates staked out a range of hard-right positions that remain unpopular with much of the national electorate, like supporting a federal abortion ban. And Trump won because none of his challengers did much to cut into his exorbitant lead in the primary.