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The swingiest House district in California now has its November matchup: Longtime incumbent G.O.P. Rep. David Valadao will face progressive Democrat Randy Villegas, who defeated the more moderate State Assembly member Jasmeet Bains in the primary. Valadao first won election to the House in 2012, lost his seat in the Democratic wave of 2018, and then reclaimed it in 2020. Democrats now hope to flip the Central Valley seat once again, arguing that today’s political tailwinds are reminiscent of the ones that unseated Valadao eight years ago.