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July 15, 2025

The Best & The Brightest
Leigh Ann Caldwell Leigh Ann Caldwell

Hello and welcome back to The Best & The Brightest. I’m Leigh Ann Caldwell, writing to you after a pretty crazy day on Capitol Hill. 

Office of Management and Budget Director Russ Vought told Senate Republicans today that the administration is willing to drop $900 million worth of funding rescissions for PEPFAR, the HIV/AIDS global health program, from the rescission package that claws back $9.4 billion of congressionally appropriated funds—an attempt to get Senators Susan Collins and Mitch McConnell, among others, comfortable with the bill.

Meanwhile, in the House, the crypto bills I wrote about yesterday—including one that would establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins—failed when 13 Republicans, all hardliners, voted against a procedural motion to move forward. According to a person familiar with the negotiations, the hardliners are demanding that strong anti–central bank digital currency provisions be included. Those currently sit in a separate piece of legislation that is less likely to reach the president’s desk.

Also on the House floor, Rep. Ro Khanna, the California Democrat, offered an amendment that would require the Justice Department to release the Epstein files. Every Republican voted against it, for reasons they say are procedural rather than substantive. But this has further fueled anger at the G.O.P. for what Epstein truthers say is yet another cover-up. I’ll have a lot more about the fallout for Trump and Republicans in my email tomorrow. Stay tuned!

But first…

Abby Livingston Abby Livingston
  • Intrigue in Arizona: Democratic primary voters in Arizona’s 7th District will decide tonight on their candidate to replace the late Rep. Raúl Grijalva. While it was long ago assumed that his daughter, Adelita Grijalva, was the heir apparent for the seat, the race has gotten interesting, with buzz that 25-year-old Deja Foxx, who is backed by ousted D.N.C. vice chair David Hogg, might pull off an upset.

    An easy Grijalva win would indicate that political dynasties are still alive and well, despite the apparent demise of family name brands like the Clintons and Cuomos. But if Foxx finishes a close second, that will send a different message. For years, nobody challenged Democratic incumbents (nor often their establishment-endorsed replacements) in House primaries, but now there are multiple candidates coming out of the woodwork, including (also in this primary) Daniel Hernandez, who is perhaps best remembered as the intern who helped save former Rep. Gabby Giffords’ life after she was shot in January 2011. Too many quality challengers could split the anti-establishment vote, allowing some aging incumbents to survive their primaries.

    But if Foxx actually wins? Katy, bar the door. Between that and Zohran Mamdani’s shocking win in New York City, we’ll be one primary away from making establishment losses an outright trend—and it’s still very early in the cycle.
  • A whole new ballgame: The Congressional Women’s Softball Game is this Wednesday, and it’s a brand-new ballgame after last year’s elections. There are no fewer than seven rookies on the members’ team: freshmen Republicans Julie Fedorchak of North Dakota and Kim King-Hinds of the Northern Mariana Islands, and Democrats Maxine Dexter of Oregon, Julie Johnson of Texas, Sydney Kamlager-Dove of California, Maggie Goodlander of New Hampshire, and Emily Randall of Washington State. “We’ve got a really good hitter, a home-run hitter, and I’m not telling you who she is,” team captain Shelley Moore Capito told me tonight.

    The game will honor the late Republican congresswoman Mia Love, who died this spring from brain cancer. A solid pitcher during her two terms in Congress, Love will be posthumously inducted into the game’s Hall of Fame, and her children will throw out the first pitch. Meanwhile, founding member and team captain Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is handing off her pitching duties and retiring from the game this year. I’m hearing the team’s prime utility player, Kathy Castor, and sophomore Becca Balint will be handling the duties on the mound. And the usual suspects will be back: Nanette Barragán, Stephanie Bice, Lisa McClain, D.W.S., etcetera.

    As for the press side, I’ll be back as the team’s dugout coach, and the roster is static from last year, with two exceptions: Hall of Fame pitcher Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report will return, and Punchbowl’s Mica Soellner will join. Two key programming notes: The game will move from Watkins Elementary to Audi Field, and you can get your tickets here.

And now, the main event...

File & Fury

File & Fury

Star MSNBC anchor and fledgling podcast host Nicolle Wallace decodes the MAGA meltdown over Jeffrey Epstein—and Donald Trump’s attempt to shift attention toward his favorite boogeymen.

John Heilemann John Heilemann

Nicolle Wallace is one of the few remaining shining stars in the ever-dimming cable news solar system: a former advisor to George W. Bush whose understanding of the practice of politics in the trenches and at the highest levels in Washington, combined with her skills behind the anchor desk and deep grasp of her audience’s appetites, have turned her two-hour stint each afternoon as host of MSNBC’s Deadline: White House into a bigger draw than many of the network’s primetime shows.

No surprise, then, that Wallace is extending her brand into the podcast realm with a new interview show entitled The Best People—a cheeky play on one of Donald Trump’s famously counterfactual claims that “I only hire the best people”—with an initial batch of guests, including Jason Bateman and Kara Swisher, who have actually been terrific. Equally unsurprising, Nicolle has been among the most popular guests to appear on my own Impolitic podcast, which is one reason I keep inviting her back again and again.

In our most recent conversation, late last week, we delved into the backlash among the MAGA faithful over the Trump administration’s handling of the D.O.J.’s case files related to the late accused child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein, and in particular the supposed list of his high-powered clientele (which may or may not exist). Nicolle decoded why the Epstein scandal, uniquely among Trump controversies and betrayals of his base, has revealed real fissures within the coalition that’s empowered him. We also discussed what she called the potentially seismic consequences of Trump’s D.O.J. announcing criminal investigations into former F.B.I. director James Comey and former C.I.A. chief John Brennan. As always, this excerpt from the pod has been edited and condensed for clarity; you can hear the whole thing here.

“They Feel Betrayed”

John Heilemann: The idea of going deep on Jeffrey Epstein makes my skin crawl, and yet we gotta talk about it because MAGA is on fire over this story. Why is that?

Nicolle Wallace: You have to try to get into what moves MAGA. What moves MAGA isn’t a 60 percent tariff on toys that Mattel makes. They’re in for the Epstein list; they’re in for prosecuting enemies. The Epstein list is the retribution against the elites who Trump’s seniormost media figures believe are hidden in that list. It’s not a political hunger; they believe there are elite Republicans and elite Democrats. Some stuff is swampishly, hysterically partisan. Some of it is, sure, the obsession with the Biden family, and the Obama family, and the Clinton family. But this was about the elites who hung out with Jeffrey Epstein—and that included Donald Trump.

That’s the complicating factor. I’ve been following the Epstein story for basically 10 years now, but I never really understood until recently how important it was to MAGA. Did you?

No. I think it’s a failure of the vast majority of people in the media—to exclusively wrap ourselves around the axis of norms. When you put Dan Bongino and Kash Patel in charge of the F.B.I., you have to steep yourselves in the conspiracy theories they peddle, because they now run the world’s preeminent law enforcement agency, and their workforce has to become fluent. This workforce has to adapt, not just to people who are incompetent, but people who throw gasoline on the fire of the craziest conspiracy theories that animate MAGAworld.

A.G. Pam Bondi came out in February and said, The Epstein list is on my desk, and she’s referred to it several times since then. They also called all these MAGA influencers into the White House, where Bondi produced this white binder, which is now talismanic, which said on the front of it that the Trump administration would be the most transparent in history. Then all of a sudden, last Sunday, she posted on the D.O.J. website saying, basically, Never mind, there’s nothing there. Do you think Bondi is full of shit, or is there a real cover-up going on here?

I really have no idea. The Trump story is making us all dumber. But I do think that following the heat, as opposed to following the norm-busting, is a good way to cover this. And this is where all the heat is right now. This is where they feel betrayed by three of their own—Bondi, Patel, and Bongino.

Cable news gets worked up about fractures in the Trump base. But the loyalty of MAGA to Trump has proven really deep and unshakeable time and time again. So what are the real political consequences of all this?

The coalition is not at any risk of breaking up along the lines that we used to cover it, old Republicans and new. MAGA replaced the Republican Party—and the Republican Party feebly and pathetically handed it over. It wasn’t hostile. Mitch McConnell and John Thune took out their spines and their balls and voluntarily handed them over.

I think the first clash that I saw as potentially consequential was Elon Musk and Steve Bannon. And what happened when Musk seemed to win the personality or beauty contest, or whatever it is that Trump judges by? DOGE happened, and it was so unpopular that the Trump-backed person lost a Wisconsin state Supreme Court race. That was the first time voters were evaluating Trump 2.0, and Trump got smoked. So there are real consequences out in the battleground states. We’re not looking at the disintegration of the coalition, but when you cover the clashes, it’s interesting to pull the thread on who’s been weakened in Trump’s orbit and what that means. Because Trump’s arbitrary—there aren’t competent people running his government; they’re just personalities.

A Hostage to His Grievances

Is there anything else that happened last week that rises to the level of the Epstein brouhaha?

I think what happened with Brennan and Comey is potentially seismic, and I don’t even think I know how to cover it, to justify how important I think it is. The weaponization of the D.O.J. started with the firing of Comey in 2017, and it sort of culminates in [C.I.A. Director John] Ratcliffe doing what [Special Counsel] John Durham, a big MAGA hero, and Marco Rubio, who’s now got like 11 jobs in the Trump cabinet, wouldn’t do as head of the Senate Intel Committee—and that’s manufacture fodder for a criminal referral to D.O.J. for Brennan’s role atop the C.I.A.

Durham spent $6.7 million investigating the Russia investigation, and John Brennan spent eight hours being interviewed by Durham, himself. They had the top of the Justice Department behind Durham. They had every resource, every asset, and complete political cover for whatever they would have been able to find. And in the very lengthy narrative that came out in the Durham report, they allege no wrongdoing that indicted Brennan’s leadership at the C.I.A. People made their way through the Mueller report, and fewer people made their way through the Senate Intel Committee report, which was a bipartisan report on Trump’s campaign ties to Russia. It’s devastating, and they looked very close—because of their clearances, they got all up and into the C.I.A. files and classified materials and found no discrepancy between the assessment that was made and what career professionals found.

Tens of millions of dollars have been spent investigating Brennan and Comey and no one has found any wrongdoing, when they had all the political cover and all the political appetite to do so. Now, you’ve got Ratcliffe, who had a position in the intel community in the first term, manufacturing something and sending it over to the D.O.J., run by the folks we’ve been talking about—Bondi, Patel, and Bongino, who are on their asses because Epstein blew up in their face. I think it’s a very scary moment.

All three of those investigations affirmed Russian interference in the 2016 election, either explicitly in the cases of Mueller and the Senate Intel Committee, or implicitly in Durham failing to come up with any wrongdoing in his investigation of the investigators. Yet Trump ran for reelection in 2024 saying over and over that “Russia Russia Russia” was a hoax, a witch hunt, and millions of his voters believed him.

I think it’s about something bigger, which is a good note to us: The success with which they shamed coverage of Russia is what we’re all living with. What’s interesting is that in the same clip where Trump is telling everyone to move on from Epstein, he’s the one going back to a nine-year conspiracy, [implying] that the effort to investigate Russia’s role in the 2016 election is a hoax. He’s the person who is so much a hostage to the time capsule of his gravest grievances: losing in 2020, and Putin’s interest in him prevailing in 2016. Volume One of the Mueller report alleges they had the same strategic goal, and so Putin did things to help him win. That’s in the Mueller report; it’s not contradicted in the Durham report; and that’s the finding of the Senate Intelligence Committee led by Marco Rubio.

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