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Welcome to The Varsity. I am back in D.C. and definitely having a better day
than Tony Clark, who resigned as executive director of the MLB Players Association following an internal investigation that discovered he had an inappropriate relationship with his sister-in-law.
The knee-jerk reaction from my sources is that the move will have little effect on forthcoming labor talks—especially if deputy executive director Bruce
Meyer takes over. Meyer and Clark have been aligned on opposing a salary cap, the players’ third rail, which will be the biggest issue during this round of negotiations. Jeff Passan and Don Van Natta Jr. have the definitive story on Clark’s resignation.
Pod alert: It was great to
hang out with Julia Alexander and talk about the forthcoming NFL rights bonanza on The Grill Room, her show with our partner Dylan Byers. (Give it a listen here.) I also chatted with Peter Hamby a few days ago about the NBA’s All-Star hijinks on his great show,
The Powers That Be. And make sure to listen to my podcast tomorrow: Christine Brennan visits to discuss her observations from the Olympics.
The NHL is having a moment this spring thanks to the surprising popularity of HBO Max’s Heated Rivalry and the inclusion of NHL players in the Winter Olympics. Julia dives into
that topic in today’s issue and delivers one of her typically authoritative, must-read pieces, available only to our Inner Circle subscribers. Click here to upgrade.
Mentioned in this email: Rick Cordella, Adam Silver, Roger Goodell, Hans Schroeder, Don Garber, Jimmy Pitaro,
Eric Shanks, Gabe Spitzer, Jay Marine, Neal Mohan, Gary Bettman, Rob Manfred, and more...
Here’s Julia…
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Stat of the Week: 8.8 Million
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That’s how many viewers tuned in to NBCU’s slightly revamped and super-successful NBA All-Star Game
last weekend—the biggest audience in 15 years, and an 87 percent improvement over last year’s event on TNT, TBS, TruTV, and HBO Max. This year’s game benefited from the Olympics lead-in, but it’s still a significant win for both NBC Sports president Rick Cordella and NBA commish Adam Silver, who has been trying to bring this thing back to life for years. And this is the preliminary number: Expect both NBCU and the NBA to
have even more to celebrate once Nielsen’s revised Big Data + Panel data comes in.
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- Send in the drones: If you, like me, are glued to the Olympics (I have so many opinions about skeleton…), you’ve likely appreciated the miraculous camerawork being performed by NBCU’s army of drones, which can zip along at up to 75 miles per hour, following athletes as they compete in events like luge, alpine skiing, and skeleton. Although drone cameras have been in use since the Sochi Games back in 2014, they’ve now become a ubiquitous part of the Olympics
broadcast due to advancements in both drone tech and pilot skills.
Could this sort of P.O.V. drone footage eventually become a selling point for immersive video? I wouldn’t be surprised to see future deals with Apple or Meta, offering drone views as an add-on experience for their V.R. headset products. Maybe we’ll all be strapping on headsets come the 2030 Games in the French Alps. - MLS’s piece of the pie: Ever since Roger Goodell
and his media distribution chief, Hans Schroeder, started hinting that they were willing to move negotiations for NFL rights way up on the calendar, everyone from broadcast partners to rival leagues has been forced to evaluate their own status in the sports rights food chain. NHL commissioner Gary Bettman is reportedly thinking of starting his league’s U.S. negotiations a few years early. Adam Silver is sitting pretty having already
secured the NBA’s $76 billion deal last year. And then there’s MLS commissioner Don Garber, whose league kicks off a new season this weekend after Apple decided to jettison their 10-year pact a few years ahead of schedule, freeing up the rights in 2029.
Garber said earlier this week that it was “way too premature” to start talking about the next rights deals, but that’s not really true—especially if rights for the NFL and NHL and UEFA and the
English Premier League all hit the auction block at the same time. Media executives like Cordella, ESPN’s Jimmy Pitaro, Fox’s Eric Shanks, Netflix’s Gabe Spitzer, Amazon’s Jay Marine, and YouTube’s Justin Connolly all need to figure out what sports they want in their portfolios to create the best offering for a domestic market that has already seemingly maxed out on content subs. Alas, MLS may not figure into
those plans at all—especially if everyone ends up emptying their wallets for the NFL. - Peacock’s (early) Super Bowl win: This year’s Super Bowl broadcast on NBC brought in 124.9 million viewers, down 2 percent compared to last year’s game on Fox, but still the type of figure that reminds media partners how uniquely dominant the NFL is in the United States. But how did the Super Bowl perform for Peacock?
So far, so good.
Early analysis indicates that the Super Bowl drove just under 1 million new subscribers to Peacock, according to Ampere—the highest figure on record for streaming sign-ups pegged to a postseason NFL game. Moreover, only around 5 percent of new customers had canceled their plan 24 hours after the Super Bowl, lower than the 12 percent who canceled Paramount+ in 2025 over that same 24 hours. Ampere credits this to Peacock’s bouquet of live sports offerings at the moment, which includes the Olympics
and the NBA All-Star Game—i.e., the very high-customer-acquisition-cost “Legendary February” of it all. (Roughly one in three new customers chose Peacock’s ad-free premium plus tier, more than double the platform’s average rate in January.)
Those early signals are good, but we’ll have to check back in 30 days. According to Antenna, Peacock had the highest churn rate of all major streamers in December, at 9 percent—worse than average (5 percent) and in another dimension
than Netflix (1.5 percent). How much of that NFL audience will stick around for the NBA and/or nonsports programming is the multibillion-dollar question.
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Between the Winter Olympics and Heated Rivalry, hockey is suddenly back in the
zeitgeist. But with NHL rights locked up in the U.S. through 2028, the league is under pressure to capitalize on the excitement before a potential NFL rights shake-up consumes all the industry oxygen.
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After more than a decade, the NHL’s top players have returned to the Winter Olympics—and the timing
couldn’t be better for commissioner Gary Bettman, whose league is generating some positive momentum as the sports rights marketplace becomes frothier and more competitive than ever. So far this season, NHL viewership is up around 40 percent year over year on ESPN and ABC. Meanwhile, the league is still riding high from its uber-successful 2025 4 Nations Face-Off tournament—a mini Olympics showcasing the league’s range of international talent that drew more than 16 million total
viewers across North America for its final game. The sport is even enjoying a rare moment in the pop culture Klieg lights thanks to HBO Max’s Heated Rivalry.
Of course, Bettman is praying that his media partners keep the NHL in mind while they make space on the P&L to accommodate the NFL’s new rates this fall. The NHL’s rights expire in the U.S. after the 2027-28 season. (As Ourand has
reported, Bettman has already had early talks with ESPN and TNT Sports to potentially get ahead of the NFL.) However, selling the league’s appeal to partners with wandering eyes will mean proving that viewership is growing both domestically and internationally—which is where the Olympics can provide a boost.
As of last Wednesday, the Milano Cortina
Games have attracted more viewers during primetime than any Winter Olympics since Sochi in 2014, according to Nielsen. And a recent YouGov poll of U.S. adults found that 20 percent of Olympics viewers ranked hockey as one of their five favorite events this year, which was good for a second-place tie with ski jumping, snowboarding, and bobsled. (Figure skating—the most popular Olympic sport—was picked by around 40 percent of respondents.) The hope, obviously, is that the Games will reengage
lapsed fans while bringing new ones into the fold.
At the same time, Bettman seems to believe that the league’s biggest opportunity lies in international markets—a common refrain among commissioners of the major U.S. sports leagues. But this involves a bit of magical thinking in the NHL’s case. The problem is that becoming a truly global sport requires significant time and investment, and Bettman needs to impress his media partners now. But the fastest way to grow might not be
drafting off the wake of Milano Cortina, and instead focusing on something that doesn’t directly involve viewership at all.
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While social media engagement doesn’t always translate to live viewership or
ticket sales, it can prove to media partners that a potentially massive audience beyond the existing fanbase is at least paying attention. And, of the four major sports leagues in the U.S., the NHL has the most room to grow: It consistently posts the lowest overall engagement on social media, per sports data firm Relo Metrics. Even MLS, which is still finding its footing in the U.S., has double hockey’s total engagement on social platforms.
Bettman knows this better than
anyone, which is why he pressured team general managers into encouraging players to start posting more, per Sportico. But a report from The Athletic
last year, based on interviews with 120 anonymous NHL players, found that 80 percent of them don’t follow what fans are talking about on social media. By contrast, the NBA and its players have a robust social media presence, which basically functions as a free, top-of-funnel marketing tool. During rights negotiations, this pipeline narrative can be an asset in the absence of more tangible viewership statistics.
Engagement on social media can also translate to more engaged
live viewers—and increased chances that a fan will stick around season after season. After all, for those casually addicted to watching a star player’s highlights and daily routines, the experience of watching them speed around the ice (and occasionally drop gloves) becomes much more enjoyable. However, according to an S&P report from last year, the NHL is struggling in this area, too: An eye-popping 44 percent of fans reported “low engagement” during live games, while 32 percent said
they were “moderately engaged,” and just under 25 percent were “hyper engaged.” Although S&P doesn’t compare the NHL’s engagement to other sports, tie that to low viewership—games averaged 440,000 viewers last season—and it isn’t difficult to spot the worrying trend.
Meanwhile, the league’s existing fans are… on the older side, which means that Bettman, like the MLB’s Rob Manfred, is highly fixated on finding ways to corral Gen Z or Gen Alpha viewers. Last year, 45
percent of NHL fans were over the age of 55, according to S&P Global’s “State of Sports Fans” report. Meanwhile, just 20 percent of fans were aged 18-34—compared to around 30 percent of NBA fans.
Bettman has made some moves to reach younger audiences, including entering into a new partnership with Amazon Prime Video in Canada—which is still the NHL’s most engaged market—that sits on top of the league’s ongoing relationship with Rogers. And to his credit, it’s
kind of working. On Prime Video, the median audience age was closer to 43 years old, with growth in the 18-34-year-old demographic, according to the company.
Hope, ironically, may have arrived in the form of Heated Rivalry, HBO Max’s gay hockey romance show, which averaged more than 10 million viewers an episode and was quickly renewed for two more seasons. It’s a cultural phenomenon that has been a boon for Bettman and the league. On TikTok, the NHL’s primary account has
increased its follower count by 83 percent since Heated Rivalry pandemonium took hold, per Sports Illustrated. New daily followers have increased by 114 percent, according to the NHL, while interest in tickets to games on StubHub shot up 40 percent while the first season was rolling out.
Heated Rivalry is not going to push media partners over the line on a new deal, but it represents the type of cool factor
that’s relatively alien to the NHL. As Gen Zers continue to enter the league, Bettman may find the answer to his social media problem. Now, he just needs to translate the excitement around the league’s 4 Nations tournament, the additional buy-in from the Olympics, and a recent surge in cultural heat into a tangible deal. As one long-time sports media investor told me over drinks recently, cool is a double-edged sword. It’s great to have, but it hurts that much more when it inevitably disappears.
The trick is striking while the iron is hot, and the clock is ticking for the NHL.
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Thanks, Julia. See you all on Thursday.
John
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Puck founding partner Matt Belloni takes you inside the business of Hollywood, using exclusive reporting and insight
to explain the backstories on everything from Marvel movies to the streaming wars.
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Ace media reporter Dylan Byers brings readers into the C-suite as he chronicles the biggest stories in the industry:
the future of cable news in the streaming era, the transformation of legacy publishers, the tech giants remaking the market, and all the egos involved.
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