Now, here’s Abby with an update from Texas…

And now, the main event…

It’s been a rough week for Secretary of State Marco Rubio. First, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and his policy chief, Elbridge Colby, stopped the shipment of U.S. weapons to Ukraine without so much as informing him. Then, news leaked that Ric Grenell, a special presidential envoy with a nebulous remit, was running a diplomatic channel to Venezuela in parallel to Rubio’s—also without consulting him. Meanwhile, Rubio has been put in charge of two key national security organs—the State Department and National Security Council—whose staff are in the process of being culled into irrelevance. (USAID, where he also served as acting administrator, has already been dismantled.) “He gets to fly around the world and have meetings with presidents, but he’s not setting policy,” one senior State Department veteran told me. “There’s no sign that he has any power or influence.”

When Rubio was “clapped in” by his new employees at Foggy Bottom, on January 21, the career foreign and civil service officers greeted him with cautious optimism. He was, after all, considered a serious foreign policy person. He had been a senior member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and vice chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee. He was a champion of USAID and had been on the board of the International Republican Institute, which had been founded by Ronald Reagan to advance democracy around the world. He had authored reports on the Uyghur genocide in China and had members of the Venezuelan opposition on speed dial. He also hailed from Florida’s Cuban American community, which has traditionally believed in a muscular exercise of American power abroad. He seemed like the most normal and credentialed cabinet pick of this administration, and his Senate colleagues voted unanimously to confirm him.

Perhaps most importantly, on that January day, Rubio pledged to restore the State Department to its rightful stature after two decades of declining influence. “I want the Department of State to be at the center of how America engages the world,” he vowed, praising his new workforce as “the greatest, the most effective, the most talented, the most experienced diplomatic corps in the history of the world.” Maybe, as one former State Department official told me, he’d be “the adult in the room.” Maybe, in the words of one career foreign service officer, he “was not super MAGA.” One senior State Department official even reconsidered the retirement they’d planned when Trump won the election, reasoning: “It’s Marco Rubio. We’ve worked with him when he traveled overseas. We’ve briefed him. He gets us. What a relief!”

That hope died within the week. On January 27, USAID workers were put on leave, and by early February, word came down that nearly everyone at the agency would be let go. USAID was a kind of sister organization to State, and the way its workers were treated—locked out of their offices, slandered by administration officials—indicated to Staties that Trump 47 would be far worse than they had originally thought, and that Marco Rubio wouldn’t save them. At Foggy Bottom, career foreign service officers were sidelined while strange people with scant experience and radical, right-wing views were installed in senior positions. Rumors of plans for a department overhaul, accompanied by massive layoffs, paralyzed the rank and file.

For months, as the case challenging Trump’s ability to carry out mass firings at federal agencies worked its way up to the Supreme Court, all anyone at State could talk about were reduction in force notices, or RIFs. Not Ukraine, not Gaza, not Iran, but who would be fired and who would be spared. A.F.S.A., the foreign service employees’ union, was frozen out, and its members were left to grasp at details that trickled out as haphazardly, it seemed, as they were devised. The secretary, himself, was notably absent. “We’re all waiting for the next shoe to drop at the foreign service and at State,” one career foreign service officer told me. “People don’t feel like the secretary has their back.”

Rubio, meanwhile, became a mute accessory to Trump. He sat blinking and melting into an Oval Office couch as the president and J.D. Vance excoriated Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, whose cause Rubio had championed in the Senate. He sat silently next to Trump at televised meetings and stood behind him at press conferences, stepping in occasionally to echo the president’s infinite wisdom—or to giggle when Trump was asked about NATO chief Mark Rutte calling him “daddy.”

All the while, Steve Witkoff, Trump’s buddy from the New York real estate industry, was jetting around the world, trying to negotiate an end to the wars in Ukraine and Gaza and leading nuclear talks between Washington and Tehran. America’s chief diplomat had become, as another former State Department official put it, the great disappearing secretary of State. “He immediately became a different person,” this person said of Rubio. “We’re all asking: Who is this person? This is not the same official we remember that fought so hard for democracy and said he respects the foreign service.” 

When reached for comment, a State Department spokesperson responded: “Anyone with a basic understanding of how our government works would know that the president of the United States sets the policy.” Rubio, this person continued, “is proud to serve under President Trump who is putting the American people first.”

While Rubio makes sure to be near Trump—on the Oval Office couch, hovering over the Resolute Desk—Foggy Bottom has been run in his stead by a small cadre of Trump loyalists led by Michael Anton, a veteran of the first Trump administration’s N.S.C., skeptic of birthright citizenship, and author of The Flight 93 Election, the 2016-era manifesto of MAGA’s “intellectual” wing. Anton is now director of policy planning, one of the most powerful, and wonkiest, positions at Foggy Bottom. Rubio also brought over his clique from the Hill, among them Dan Holler, his Senate comms director; his scheduler; and Heritage Action founder Michael Needham, his powerful Senate chief of staff.

Needham, as I wrote back in 2013, was once the enfant terrible of Capitol Hill—an aggressive, break-shit kind of guy before Trump made it popular. He has since matured and, according to one Democratic Senate aide, is “charming, polite, gracious.” But he was also known to make access to Rubio rare and difficult—a gatekeeping role that he has, by all accounts, retained at State, and which he now shares with Anton. “Rubio is very distant,” a second senior State Department official explained. “We don’t feel his presence as we did with Blinken. Access to Rubio is through these two people—and they are not friends to the foreign service.”

Needham has also been tasked with helping oversee the reorganization of the State Department and the foreign service. “Rubio is definitely not involved in personnel policy,” the second senior State Department official said. “It’s not his strength. So they’ve delegated it to Needham and [Lew] Olowski,” a young-ish and relatively inexperienced lawyer who was tenured out of turn and via an opaque process—which irritates career F.S.O.s endlessly—then placed in charge of the Bureau of Global Talent Management, State’s H.R. department. Olowski is also an evangelical preacher and lists “brand ambassador” for the Gabriel Network, a Christian anti-abortion group, on his LinkedIn C.V. Like his wife and other MAGA-friendly officials rising quickly at State, he is a Ben Franklin Fellow.

Olowski stunned career Staties by waxing poetic about Jesus and dolphins in his first speech to the building, in April, and is widely reviled as the person responsible for writing political loyalty—“fidelity”—into the promotion guidelines as well as for planning RIFs in the most nonsensical and cruel way. Foreign service officers are going to be laid off, for example, not based on their performance, role, or seniority, but by what office they were assigned to on or before May 29. If they worked for an office that has been eliminated, they too will be eliminated, according to the word in Foggy Bottom, even if they have already moved on to their next assignment.

Olowski’s role as a heat shield suits Rubio perfectly. “Rubio doesn’t want to get his hands dirty,” the second senior State Department official told me. “The RIFs—that’s what the White House wants done. Rubio’s going to want to look as good as possible and sign on the fewest pieces of paper as possible.” Another senior official echoed the sentiment. “People are wondering how much these quotas are driven by Russell Vought,” this official said, referring to the head of O.M.B. and Project 2025 mastermind. “Rubio and his two depsecs are just following orders,” a retired senior official confided. “It’s all coming from Vought and the White House. It’s not coming from the seventh floor.”

This idea that Rubio is merely the willing puppet of the MAGA commissars was reinforced by the installation of Darren Beattie as head of public diplomacy. Beattie, a January 6 truther who was fired from the first Trump administration for attending white nationalist conferences, and who has said the U.S. needs to “put competent white men” back in charge, is believed to be the voice behind the scathing pronouncement coming out of State under Rubio’s byline. Those include an op-ed in The Federalist excoriating the now-shuttered Global Engagement Center—which was created to fight disinformation online—as the seat of the so-called “censorship industrial complex,” staffed by “enemies of speech,” guilty of “abuses of trust” and harboring an insatiable “authoritarian impulse.”

Not that the distinction matters that much to the State Department rank and file. Whoever is actually drafting the statements, they have been made in Marco Rubio’s name or delivered by him, and they refer to his employees as the “bloated, bureaucratic swamp,” “more beholden to radical ideology than advancing America’s core national interests,” and “left-wing activists [waging] vendettas against ‘anti-woke’ leaders” who are guilty of funding and facilitating “the invasion of our southern border.” “I don’t think there’s another secretary of State that’s defamed his own workforce the way Rubio has,” a senior State Department official fumed. “Dulles never sank so low during the McCarthy era. He let McCarthy do that.”

It’s the prevailing theory at State that Rubio is just using the post to gild his run for the presidency in 2028. He has “never given up on the ambition of becoming president of the United States,” said someone who worked with him in the Senate. “He’s ambitious,” sneered another senior State Department official, using the adjective I most frequently heard to describe Rubio. “It’s a cabinet of bootlickers, and the people who are the best bootlickers are the ones who do the best. He’s accepted the role of Little Marco. He doesn’t chafe at it.”

If Rubio runs in ’28, he wouldn’t be the first Republican to overestimate the political value of a foreign policy cabinet spot—just ask presidents Nikki Haley and Mike Pompeo. But the fact that it is often Rubio and Vance flanking Trump at important announcements is just fueling chatter in Foggy Bottom and on the Hill that Rubio will try to run when Trump’s term is over. (“If we have elections again,” as one retired F.S.O. made sure to clarify.)

For a time, Rubio appeared sidelined within Trump’s orbit. In recent days, however, as Witkoff and his aw-shucks naïveté have largely failed to deliver results, his profile has risen in the administration. Staties and even some Democrats have privately speculated that perhaps it was Rubio who has helped move Trump away from his pro-Putin position and back toward supporting Ukraine, however tenuously. Perhaps, they muse—or even dare to hope—the actual head of the U.S. State Department is setting some policy after all.

More likely, however, Rubio is there to look the part. Trump by his own account, cares a tremendous amount about how things look. He famously didn’t give John Bolton the job because he has a mustache, and everyone knows that secretaries of State should not have mustaches. Rubio, on the other hand, is clean-shaven and boyish. He looks right, and, because of his long experience in the field, he sounds right, too. Even his detractors in the foreign service acknowledge it. “Rubio is a natural,” said the senior State Department official. “He understands all that. You can throw him into any summit, he’s going to be able to navigate it and have a conversation with any counterpart. The optics of him being in those spaces is very comfortable.”

On Thursday, Rubio sat down with one such counterpart, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, on the sidelines of the ASEAN conference. It was a meeting that was at once high level and meaningless. Neither Lavrov nor Rubio has any power to set policy; only Putin and Trump do. But that misses the point. Presidents might need a foreign service and a cadre of diplomats to craft and implement policy, but autocrats don’t. They just need men to play the part convincingly.

That’s all from me, friends. I’ll see you back here next week. Until then, good night. Tomorrow will be worse.

Julia

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