Trump’s 25 Paths to 270

donald trump
Even worse for Biden, Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio continued, “The map has expanded and is continuing to expand.” Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
John Heilemann
July 18, 2024

I didn’t think it was possible for Team Trump to project more confidence than Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles exuded in Tim Alberta’s Republican convention curtain-raiser in The Atlantic, where the former guy’s campaign co-managers coughed up a cluster of on-the-record quotes—“Trump was well on this way to a 320-electoral-vote win… pre-debate,” said LaCivita; “Joe Biden is a gift,” said Wiles—that went beyond flirting with chutzpah to canoodling with unadorned hubris. But then I attended an invitation-only lunch event in Milwaukee at Blue Ribbon Hall, the original corporate home of the historic Pabst Brewery, where longtime Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio effectively (and fittingly) declared: Chris, Susie—hold my beer.