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Greetings from Cannes, France, where I’m speaking at the MIPCOM television conference, and welcome back to What I’m Hearing+, my weekly dispatch focused on the streaming industry and the analytics behind it all. If this email was forwarded to you, click here to subscribe.
Tonight, some observations on Netflix’s surprising earnings report—and why adding an advertising tier will change more than just its revenue model.
But first…
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- Peacock’s ‘Halloween’ Bet: NBCUniversal stuck to the day-and-date release strategy for Halloween Ends, and is now touting the film as the most-watched title in a two day period on Peacock. This kind of anecdata is almost useless, but consider that SambaTV reported 1.2 million households tuned into the 2021 installment, Halloween Kills, within its first 48 hours, so we can presume that Ends exceeded that. The performance may have cut into the film’s theatrical box office revenue, which missed expectations by a range of $5-10 million. That said, it’s still a win for NBCU. At $40 million domestic, Ends is at least a sign the industry is figuring out a hybrid future. It is also a potential lifeline for Peacock, which is struggling to find subscribers but has seen jumps when box office hits, like Jurassic World: Dominion or Minions: The Rise of Gru, are released. Not every movie should go day-and-date...
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The New Netflix Age Has Arrived |
Netflix naysayers suggest that the forthcoming ad-supported tier will cheapen the brand, lead subscribers to downgrade, and lower the ARPU. But it’s actually an opportunity for the company to accelerate its pivot to its own O&O sitcoms, procedurals, and other content that its users already crave and its future ad partners lust over. |
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If the entire streaming video industry has felt jittery of late, that’s in large part because the company that effectively created that very business had hit a rough patch. Yes, Netflix, as you may have heard, has been facing something of an identity crisis ever since Wall Street lost faith in the streamer’s ability to spend its way to infinite growth, causing its stock to sell off by more than 70 percent before beginning to recover. That rebound accelerated with today’s third quarter earnings report—Netflix added 2.4 million new subscribers, although only about 100,000 in the U.S., and grew annual revenue by nearly 6 percent despite macroeconomic conditions—causing the stock to pop some 35 percent after trading hours... |
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FOUR STORIES WE'RE TALKING ABOUT |
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Biden’s Blessing |
Will Team Biden throw its juice behind a Silicon Valley-inflected outside political group? |
TEDDY SCHLEIFER & TARA PALMERI |
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The E.S.G. Era |
This shareholder proxy season, aggrieved investors are more vociferous than usual. |
ERIQ GARDNER |
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Putin’s Waterboy |
Peter and Julia dissect Musk’s Putin fixation. |
PETER HAMBY & JULIA IOFFE |
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