Hi, and welcome to Line Sheet. I landed in New York this afternoon, and I’m now heading to dinner with a friend before tonight’s performance of Glengarry Glen Ross, which was recently panned in the Times. (I usually don’t drink on Monday nights, but perhaps a martini is advisable in this case.)
Meanwhile, this issue practically wrote itself. Up top, a scoop on a new addition to the Fear of God design team, and intel on Saks Global C.E.O. Marc Metrick’s efforts to make nice with employees—plus, something to consider regarding what’s next at Balenciaga, and a little ditty on the health of LVMH’s watch business post– Frédéric Arnault. Finally, the speculation over this Vanity Fair editorship is such a gift. Everyone is having so much fun. Over the weekend, after many chats, I came to a few conclusions about how it may all net out, and what the appointment will say about the future of Condé Nast.
🚨 Programming note: Today on Fashion People, my guest is Brynn Wallner of Dimepiece fame, with a report from Watches and Wonders, the famous trade show. Brynn shares what’s new in Geneva, thoughts on the Vanity Fair situation, her opinion of The Row’s $690 flip-flops, and plenty more. Listen here and here.
Also, here are all the products we discussed: the Hermès Apple Watch band; The Row’s Eglitta wide-leg jeans, butter yellow t-shirt, and $690 flip-flops; black Chacos; the Rolex Sky-Dweller watch, Audemars Piguet’s Royal Oak, the Patek Philippe Nautilus, and Rolex’s Sea-Dweller watch.
Also also: It’s almost spring break in these parts, so I’m prepping the next iteration of the always-provocative Line Sheet mailbag for when I’m away. Please hit reply and share your burning questions with me!
Mentioned in this issue: Will Welch, Vanity Fair, Anna Wintour, Fear of God, Paul Helbers, LVMH, Frédéric Arnault, Marc Metrick, Saks, Catherine Bloom, Radhika Jones, Sara Moonves, Mark Guiducci, Sam Hine, Sarah Ball, Balenciaga, Pieter Mulier, Matt DiGiacomo’s new art exhibit, and… the real winner of The White Lotus Season 3!
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Four Things You Should Know…
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- A God-fearing man: I hear that former Fforme creative director Paul Helbers is now consulting for Los Angeles–based Fear of God’s Jerry Lorenzo. Makes sense. Helbers is a consummate number two, dating way back to his time under Marc Jacobs at Louis Vuitton, up through his menswear moment at The Row. Often based in Paris, Helbers is part of a small pool of designers who volley between the number two and number one designer spots. (Former Roberto Cavalli creative director Paul Surridge, who recently joined Prada menswear after a quiet stint at Loro Piana, is another.) The appointment also carries on the tradition of Fear of God’s continental positioning. C.E.O. Bastien Daguzan, late of Jacquemus, Rabanne, and Lemaire, is embedded in European fashion networks. The company didn’t respond to a request for comment.
- Balenciaga’s guy: Last week, I posited that Kering could use the Demna transfer as a way to improve shareholder sentiment, perhaps announcing his replacement at Balenciaga before he even starts at Gucci. My guess, given his July start date at Gucci, is that Demna will show his final Balenciaga couture collection long before the actual couture week, which begins July 7. Anyway, my big bet is on Pieter Mulier as the next Balenciaga designer, and I’m standing by that.But hey, look, what do I know? I was convinced that Kering was going to do everything in its power to get Hedi Slimane back. Also, as a few readers reminded me, a significant portion of Balenciaga’s sales are in menswear and men’s accessories—similar to the situation at Givenchy under Riccardo Tisci. So whoever takes this job has to be as motivated to design menswear as womenswear. Of course, Mulier has experience in that realm from Calvin Klein and Raf Simons (the label).
- Watches and Wonders, sans Frédéric: This past week’s supersized trade fair—at which all the major watch maisons gather in Geneva to show off their new models for the year—was missing one of its stars: Frédéric Arnault, the current heir apparent to the LVMH empire and brand-new C.E.O. of Loro Piana.For the previous eight years, Frédéric was entrenched in the watch world, first leading connected initiatives at Tag Heuer before becoming its C.E.O. in 2020, and then being promoted to oversee the conglomerate’s entire watch group in 2024. And, as I’ve reported, it wasn’t always an easy ride. But a recent Morgan Stanley report on the industry—an annual report everyone reads and references—shows that, much like with his brother Alexandre at Tiffany, Frédéric and co. put the watch division onto a path to gaining significant market share that is now materializing. In 2024, sales of smartwatches like the Apple Watch plummeted; Frédéric’s fix for slumping sales at Tag was the introduction of the new Carrera collection (a legacy model with a lot of goodwill among watch collectors). It worked—and by the end of the year, Tag’s market share had grown and sales were up.Elsewhere in the LVMH Watch Group, things were tougher in 2024: Hublot’s sales were down 20 percent, and the group’s overall market share fell. (Hermès’s timepiece sales also dipped 7 percent.) But the powers that be at Morgan Stanley are bullish on LVMH’s watch ambitions, thanks to strong showings at Tag (which is sponsoring F1) and Italian jewelry brand Bulgari, perhaps hinting at the rise in the number of women buying watches. According to the report, which was released before all this tariff nonsense was fully unleashed, their analysts “expect the group to fare better this year.” There is, after all, a reason the 29-year-old Frédéric is perceived as being his father’s favorite, and it’s not only because he went to École Polytechnique.
- Metrick’s damage control: On Friday, Saks Global C.E.O. Marc Metrick sent an all-hands note to the team, providing a 90-day status update on the Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman Marcus Group merger. Of course, Metrick has had a mountain of problems on top of the integration: the vendor payments fiasco; layoffs; the Hudson’s Bay Company liquidation in Canada; the potential closure of the Neiman Marcus store in downtown Dallas; the exit of Neiman Marcus mega-seller Catherine Bloom; and now, tariff fears on top of it all. There’s a tremendous amount of speculation around the company’s current liquidity, which vendors are in and which vendors are out, who’s getting preferential treatment, when there will be more layoffs, and more.Now, Metrick, who started in Saks’s executive training program 30 years ago, is in saving-face mode, attempting to improve morale by turning the focus on the integration itself. “We can’t get distracted by those who speculate about our business,” he wrote, coming off of a trip to Dallas to meet with the team there. In the note, Metrick shared a broad outline of senior management’s big-picture plan, which includes tactics as simple as
inventory sharing and data personalization across e-commerce U.R.L.s, as well as customized brand experiences (remember the Dior windows?) and improved recruitment of top-tier customers (the top 2 percent of customers make up something like 40 percent of Saks’s overall business). Anyway, it was a pretty straightforward note, mapping out the changes you’d expect from a merger of this sort, and was sufficiently positive and confident in tone—and it didn’t even attempt to address the vendor
payments, the incoming layoffs, or any of the other worries. It was a reminder that Saks Global is an operating business and has a plan to move forward.Behind the scenes, I’m told that Metrick is working with senior management to address those concerns on an ad hoc basis, but wants his top team to rally everyone else to start looking ahead—even as more layoffs are planned for April. On the vendor relationship front, it appears that the majority of brands are still shipping at least some product to Saks, though the buying team is reckoning with these frictions day in and day out. (A big test on that front is whether Saks starts submitting back-payments in July, as promised.)Some positive news: The issue with drawn-out customer refunds on returns, which Saks blamed on an automated warehouse kerfuffle, has been rectified. Customers are now receiving payments in five to seven days rather than 20-plus days. I’m sure Metrick is taking any win he can get.
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News and notes on the Vanity Fair editor search: the fashion crowd’s enduring support for Mark Guiducci; Sara Moonves dark horse theories; and an emerging consensus that the title might just get tucked under Will Welch’s fiefdom.
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Last Thursday, shortly after the news broke that Radhika Jones was stepping down as editor-in-chief of Vanity Fair, I reported that she had been contemplating her departure for at least a year, and had also been put in a position that made remaining on the masthead untenable—after all, how much more can you do with so much less? Anyway, it seemed like time for everyone to move on from what had never been a great fit. Early whispers in the fashion world, which often has its own preferences about who should inherit these thrones, favored Mark Guiducci, one of Anna Wintour’s next-gen deputies, who manages various projects across the Vogue business. For what it’s worth, I still believe he’s a contender.
Another chewed-over Vanity Fair scenario coalesced around the appointment of Sara Moonves, the editor of W magazine. This poses a slightly more complex dynamic. Moonves and a consortium of investors own W, which they purchased from Condé Nast in 2019. Moonves’s father, of course, is former CBS chairman Les Moonves. While Les has denied any involvement with the acquisition of W, Sara would likely come to any negotiation with a high level of legal and financial sophistication. Surely both sides could agree to a structure, but it would take a fair amount of time, and would presumably decrease her autonomy and financial upside. I think she would make those concessions only for Vogue, which could be hers one day if the Condé Nast board has any sense.
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Initially, I had dismissed queries about GQ editor-in-chief Will Welch, the only editor who has succeeded near the level of his or her predecessor under Wintour’s corporate management. Welch, after all, has his hands full. GQ needs a steward to manage its challenges in China. As you may remember from my reporting in July, November, and February, GQ China’s formerly $100 million-a-year business is under incredible duress due to a licensing challenge.
I had also assumed that, much like Moonves, Welch was eyeing bigger things. He seemed like a legit contender to fill in for Anna in her corporate role, as chief content officer, whenever she decides to step aside. By the end of the weekend, however, I had plenty of Will is going for it whispers in my ear. Some even suggested a situation in which he runs Vanity Fair while continuing to oversee GQ and Pitchfork, which is also under his purview. In this scenario, a less experienced editor like Sam Hine—young, sure, but beloved by advertisers—or WSJ.’s Sarah Ball would take over American GQ and manage the day-to-day. This structure would effectively help solve the VF challenge while simultaneously setting up succession. And Welch has the sort of Hollywood relationships that would preserve the remaining integrity of the Oscar party, which is a not-insignificant part of the mandate—even if running VF could descend from a larger-than-life job to a fractional position in seven years.
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What would Welch do at VF? Would this mean the end of journalism-journalism at Vanity Fair? When Welch took over GQ in 2018, he unemotionally narrowed its focus, catering to a new generation of fashion enthusiasts—the kind that obsessed over Virgil Abloh designs at Louis Vuitton—and the advertisers desperate to reach them. The investigations and intrepid reporting that defined the Jim Nelson era all but disappeared. Welch’s biggest snafu during his tenure derived from the retraction of a critical opinion piece dunking on Warner Bros. Discovery C.E.O. David Zaslav, which was exacerbated by the fact that Welch was attached to a (long dead) movie project at Warner Bros. His GQ isn’t interrogating anyone, okay? If he took over VF, I imagine you’d see a similar playbook.
But his commercialism may be necessary for magazine brands at this stage of their life cycle. In the old days, top editors could publish whatever features they wanted, so long as they placated the advertisers with glamorous credit-heavy photoshoots and glossy front-of-book eye candy. Now, the brands need to be singularly focused. Financially, Vanity Fair can’t be an accountability force any longer, but it can still be a Hollywood and culture brand for the high-minded set. I also think Welch’s ability to identify GQ’s repositioning, and execute on that vision, indicates that he could also give Vanity Fair a fresh, likable point of view.
Given the odd timing of Jones’s exit announcement—she’s staying through June—my guess is that Wintour is going to take a beat on this one. (A rep for Condé Nast had no comment on the matter, but let me just remind you that the job hasn’t even been posted yet.) When Wintour hired Jones—with the validation of David Remnick, whether or not he wants the credit—she didn’t cast a wide net. And while this search is probably not much bigger—there’s no scenario in which she hires a newsroom person; she needs a schmoozer—I do know it’s going to be relatively comprehensive and probably pretty long. I reckon Wintour is going to rely more heavily on her own instincts, and the direction of the Condé Nast board. She’s made plenty of unwise hiring decisions during the past decade, and this one needs to help the greater business.
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Under Graydon Carter, Vanity Fair’s defining characteristic was its ability to shape-shift between politics, business, the arts, the entertainment industry, and the fashion business. Its articles were often as literary as The New Yorker’s, its photo shoots were as glamorous as those that appeared in Vogue, and its cover stars were as populist as the ones that adorned Glamour. Now, that differentiated mix appears to have transcended from being an asset to a complexifier. Investing in its various silos prevented Vanity Fair from differentiating in any of them. The brand can’t quite defend a paywall strategy (like The New Yorker), or declare a pure play fashion offering for advertisers (such as Vogue), or offer a mass consumer experience (like Glamour, at least kinda).
One thing going for Will is that he has solved this kind of riddle before. Recall that his audition for the GQ job came in the form of his editorship of GQ Style, a quarterly magazine filled with glossy images of fashion credits and devoid of edgy content. GQ Style, of course, eventually raptured into GQ.
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Matt DiGiacomo, of Chrome Hearts fame and now repped by Honor Fraser, launched a big solo exhibition of his artwork last week at the Ross + Kramer gallery. [ Wall Power]
Everyone with a contact list is at Salone del Mobile this week. Highlights include Prada talks, an Apartmento party to celebrate its latest cookbook, and Saint Laurent’s launch of a collection of Charlotte Perriand furniture that previously existed only as sketches or prototypes. Hermès, Highsnobiety, and Loro Piana are all around. Even The Row is doing something… could it mean…?! [ Style Not Com]
Hermès menswear designer Véronique Nichanian staged a repeat of last season’s show in Seoul on April 3. [ WWD]
An interview with Fantastic Man editor Gert Jonkers: “My favorite place to look at clothes is in a museum.” [ GQ]
Ralph Lauren and LVMH are in a bidding war for 109 Prince Street. [ Commercial Observer]
Sarah Miller, a great and also very funny writer, on Botox. [ The New Yorker]
Rachel Strugatz will have more on this later in the week, but Hailey Bieber’s Rhode apparently just hired a banker to explore a possible sale. [ Reuters]
The Styles team debates the merits of The Row’s $690 flip-flop. [ The New York Times]
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And finally… The real winner of The White Lotus Season 3 was… Jacquemus!
Until tomorrow,
Lauren
P.S.: We are using affiliate links because we are a business. We may make a couple bucks off them.
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Puck’s daily art market email, anchored by industry expert Marion Maneker, offers unparalleled access to the mega-auctions and galleries, elite buyers and sellers, and the power players who run this opaque world. Wall Power also features Julie Brener Davich, a veteran of Christie’s and Sotheby’s, who provides unique insights into how the business really works.
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