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Republican Worries in Ohio & Incumbent Danger in Indiana

Primary voters head to the polls tomorrow in two states affected differently by redistricting.

Derek Merrin
The leader in the Ohio race is Derek Merrin, who has the most name recognition because of his narrow loss to Kaptur in the district Trump won by 6.5 points in 2024. Some Republicans worry he could lose to her again now that the political environment for their party is less hospitable. Photo: Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc/Getty Images
Leigh Ann Caldwell
May 4, 2026

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Ohio and Indiana—two red states affected in different ways by redistricting—will both hold primaries tomorrow. Trump pressed Ohio to redistrict and take as many Democratic seats as possible, but the state’s bipartisan redistricting commission redrew its map last year with Democratic input, per the terms of the state constitution. Republicans’ best hope for a pickup is the seat currently held by Rep. Marcy Kaptur, one of the 13 House Democrats to represent a district that Trump won in 2024.