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Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley speaks at a campaign event following her third-place finish in the Iowa caucus on January 16, 2024, in Manchester, New Hampshire.
Peter Hamby January 17, 2024
Thoughts, theories, and takeaways from the least competitive primary contest in modern history.
Each night, the primary is routinely the third or fourth story on the network evening news broadcasts—a good indicator of how little appetite there is for Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley with national audiences.
Peter Hamby January 9, 2024
Alas, it has taken till Iowa for the national media to admit that not all races were built the same.
Peter Hamby December 26, 2023
In conversation with Tina Nguyen, author of ‘The MAGA Diaries,’ about the evolution of the modern conservative media machine, from Milton and Mises to Tucker and Trump.
Will young voters who are currently sour on Biden vote for him anyway in 2024 because they understand the stakes of the election?
Peter Hamby December 19, 2023
Yes, Gen Z has soured on the 81-year-old president. But Democratic strategists see a “reverse coattails” effect emerging in the data: an opportunity for the White House to tap local outrage to set up a national win.


President Joe Biden departs the White House on December 11, 2023.
Peter Hamby December 12, 2023
Professional Democrats are split between those with a near-religious conviction that Biden’s problems are overblown, and those who believe the freakout is justified. The polling is hard to wish away, but focus group testing suggests the reality isn’t so simple, either.
Chris Christie is betting on a town hall strategy in New Hampshire, and making appeals to independents and Republicans who want to put Trump in the rearview.
Peter Hamby December 4, 2023
A candid conversation with the two-time presidential contender about the delirious state of the ’24 race: his path to Super Tuesday, his beef with Nikki Haley, whether Trump should go to prison, and more.
Prices are simply a huge drag for Joe Biden.
Peter Hamby November 28, 2023
Yes, experts agree the economy is technically great. But it’s also very weird: gas prices are down and wages are up, but so is rent, car insurance, groceries, and just about every product Americans encounter on a daily basis. If that’s what voters are associating with “Bidenomics,” well, Biden is in big trouble.
Peter Hamby November 21, 2023
Nikki Haley might be peaking at exactly the right time, and her campaign is now making the case that she is the last best hope to stop Trump—or at least to outlive DeSantis. Her recent campaign stops in South Carolina hint at a suburban strategy, but snatching the nomination may take a miracle.


The real, existing threat from Kennedy is right there, out in the open, staring at Democrats in the face.
Peter Hamby November 13, 2023
The media fixation on Romney-Manchin is out of proportion to the real threat that almost nobody is talking about: Kennedy could very well be on the debate stage alongside Biden next fall, a nightmare scenario that could allow Trump to waltz into the White House.
The public panic over those polls was so widespread that the Biden campaign emailed confidential talking points to friendly surrogates.
Peter Hamby November 7, 2023
Amid a party-wide freak-out over a set of terrifying New York Times polls, Democrats are guardedly watching Tuesday’s elections for signs that the immense backlash over abortion bans, which turbocharged last year’s midterm results, can still deliver them the White House.
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