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NEWSLETTERS
Peter Hamby August 28, 2023
One of the laughable tragedies about this crop of G.O.P. presidential also-rans is that they all still believe that they’re still the outsiders they were, decades ago—you know, before politics became a batshit crazy spectacle, and they started to look a lot like the people they once disrupted.
Despite enduring months of bad headlines, Ron DeSantis appears to have put his supposed death march on pause.
Peter Hamby August 21, 2023
Scenes from the State Fair, where Vivek is the new Buttigieg, DeSantis keeps getting friend-zoned, the Trump-Scott ticket is a veritable conservative fantasy, and voters are decidedly undecided ahead of this week’s G.O.P. debate.
Biden understands he doesn’t need the media as much as they think he does.
Peter Hamby August 14, 2023
For Biden to win again, he must reach people who aren’t just news junkies, and his advisers are unapologetic about the importance of going around the Washington press to do it, their egos be damned.
New data suggests Iowa Republicans aren’t ready to let Trump coast to the nomination just yet.
Peter Hamby August 7, 2023
The bull case for overcoming Trump begins with winning Iowa, consolidating the vote, and then carrying momentum through the primary. But posing with butter sculptures and eating deep-fried Oreos isn’t what it used to be.


Can DeSantis pivot to the scrappy town hall strategy, fix his sagging poll numbers, and come back from the dead?
Peter Hamby July 31, 2023
Allies have pointed to McCain’s 2007 campaign comeback as the “perfect example” of why DeSantis shouldn’t be written off. But, as someone who rode the bus with McCain during those bleak days, I can tell you the comparison is perfectly imperfect.
Chris Christie has nothing to lose with Republicans, but plenty to gain from Democrats.
Peter Hamby July 24, 2023
News and notes on the ecstasies and anxieties of the political class: Chris Christie’s ambitions and Elon Musk’s sub-hype victory.
Scott is running on optimism, on the American dream, and his Christian faith, reprising many of the same themes that once made Ronald Reagan so popular.
Peter Hamby July 17, 2023
Scott’s donors are betting on his optimism, his Christian faith, and the American dream. But, of course, they’ve never met real Republican voters.
Biden has a lot of work to do to stir up enthusiasm and remind voters of the choice on the ballot once the election rolls around.
Peter Hamby July 10, 2023
There’s one simple rule of presidential politics: If you lose independents in swing states, you lose the election. And Biden is increasingly vulnerable.


By last week’s end, the Hunter news cycle had reached a new crescendo.
Peter Hamby June 26, 2023
The president’s sad, delusional, haunted son is no longer a mere fixation for Republican house members and MAGA podcasters. Hunter Biden’s scandal has gone mainstream. Is it a legit ’24 problem?
Are the shrill articulations of Ron DeSantis’s demise premature and overcooked?
Peter Hamby June 12, 2023
What if those Scott Walker comparisons are misguided, or at least profoundly premature? Right now, the Republican campaign is in a limbo state until three important unknowns shake out: Republican voters respond to Trump’s indictments, the first G.O.P. debate in August, and whether DeSantis can grow outside of his Florida comfort zone.
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